NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	87		Excitement	4.5 [946]		MVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): +9.7%
Golden State Warriors	95		Comeback	2.3 [186]		LVP	Metta World Peace (LAL): -12.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.02	-0.02	11	60%	0.11	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.04
Shannon Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	36%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	5	76%	0.06	3	-0.06	7	43%	-0.05
Matt Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.05	7	67%	-0.00	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.05	20	54%	0.03	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	9	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Steve Blake	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.02	6	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.02	-0.06	22	52%	0.16	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	65%	0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.04	17	58%	0.11	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	23	42%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	13	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.8	28.1	18.8	28.5	2.7	34.5	138.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +14.5%

GSW +6.9%

GSW +15.4%

GSW +13.3%

LAL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	14.5	16.1	15.5	93.5	100.0	105.7
season	15.9	14.8		108.8	106.6
opponent	15.2	15.5		109.0	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.6	14.7	16.5	13.4	14.5
GSW	16.4	15.3	15.5	17.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	50	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-8	8	14.4	14.7	-0.28	16.0	16.2	-0.24
Steve Blake	32	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	0	-8	13.9	14.9	-0.98	16.5	15.9	0.60
Kobe Bryant	64	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.30	2	-10	12	14.7	14.2	0.55	15.6	17.0	-1.37
Pau Gasol	53	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.19	-2	-6	4	14.1	15.1	-1.06	16.6	15.4	1.16
Shannon Brown	34	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	1	-10	13.8	15.0	-1.14	15.8	16.2	-0.39
Derek Fisher	61	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.29	0	-8	8	14.9	13.9	0.98	15.9	16.5	-0.60
Andrew Bynum	69	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-6	4	15.2	12.7	2.48	15.6	17.3	-1.76
Matt Barnes	43	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	0	-8	14.7	14.4	0.28	16.2	16.0	0.24
Lamar Odom	59	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	5	-18	14.4	14.7	-0.29	16.8	14.8	2.04

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorell Wright	87	84	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-1	10	16.3	13.7	2.54	14.5	15.1	-0.62
David Lee	89	86	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	16.2	14.2	2.04	14.6	13.6	1.06
Monta Ellis	85	81	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	0	8	16.0	16.6	-0.59	14.7	13.3	1.40
Stephen Curry	83	83	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.29	2	6	-4	16.1	15.7	0.47	14.2	17.3	-3.08
Lou Amundson	50	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	7	-6	16.1	16.0	0.06	14.2	14.9	-0.70
Ekpe Udoh	38	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	7	-6	15.9	16.2	-0.34	15.4	13.9	1.48
Vladimir Radmanovic	13	14	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	2	4	15.7	16.1	-0.44	12.9	14.8	-1.99
Al Thornton	17	16	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	3	2	15.6	16.2	-0.52	16.0	14.2	1.75
Reggie Williams	13	15	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	8	-8	15.2	16.2	-0.98	14.2	14.6	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 82, SAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.32,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
CLE 92, CHI 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
TOR 76, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.77,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%