inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 92 Excitement4.5 [921] MVPMarco Belinelli (CHI): +17.5%
Chicago Bulls 118 Comeback2.6 [881] LVPTyler Zeller (CLE): -12.7%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
CJ Miles0.120,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.02-0.031165%0.141-0.021100%0.00
Dion Waiters0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.010.021164%0.072-0.026100%0.02
Kevin Jones0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01367%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Shaun Livingston0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03450%0.012-0.0000%0.00
Jon Leuer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Pargo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Omri Casspi-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01540%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Tristan Thompson-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.03-0.011254%0.022-0.042100%0.01
Kyrie Irving-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.03-0.021154%0.053-0.07683%0.01
Alonzo Gee-0.090,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.00744%-0.023-0.07475%0.00
Tyler Zeller-0.130,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.030.00830%-0.062-0.06450%-0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.110.03-0.04883%0.1710.002100%0.01
Luol Deng0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.010.001270%0.143-0.053100%0.02
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.110.010.061660%0.0610.008100%0.03
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.100.000.05986%0.093-0.04367%-0.01
Kirk Hinrich0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00475%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.01744%0.0200.00450%-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marquis Teague0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Daequan Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.09-0.010.11882%0.022-0.041100%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.030.02250%-0.021-0.05250%-0.01
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.11-0.01-0.031341%-0.025-0.071100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.61.826.415.631.02.526.6131.5
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +20.2%
CHI +5.7%
CHI +22.8%
CHI +1.4%
CLE -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLECHINBACLECHINBA
this game15.215.315.497.9124.2104.1
season15.516.6102.5101.7
opponent15.215.2102.3107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE14.516.413.916.415.2
CHI13.814.915.517.115.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremy Pargo990.00-0.500.500.12-4-221814.915.3-0.3716.315.11.19
CJ Miles4648-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-232016.014.51.5615.015.5-0.47
Jon Leuer1617-0.00-0.500.500.11-4-221814.615.3-0.7216.814.91.91
Kevin Jones4140-0.01-0.490.480.34-12-14215.215.20.0414.915.5-0.57
Omri Casspi2929-0.16-0.340.190.28-15-11-415.515.10.3816.614.71.97
Shaun Livingston3030-0.26-0.24-0.010.24-17-9-815.515.10.4116.214.81.38
Kyrie Irving5960-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.06-7-191214.516.4-1.8714.616.3-1.73
Tristan Thompson6465-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.06-11-15414.716.2-1.4814.916.1-1.24
Dion Waiters5555-0.40-0.10-0.300.13-18-8-1014.915.6-0.7114.715.9-1.20
Alonzo Gee5454-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.00-14-12-215.415.00.3515.215.3-0.03
Tyler Zeller6768-0.610.11-0.710.13-25-1-2415.813.82.0315.414.80.61

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luol Deng76770.500.000.50-0.092061415.215.4-0.2115.215.5-0.30
Richard Hamilton42420.270.230.030.12521-1615.814.81.0414.216.1-1.91
Nate Robinson47460.260.240.03-0.442422215.714.80.9715.515.00.50
Taj Gibson46470.260.240.02-0.392241815.015.5-0.5715.614.90.66
Joakim Noah66660.250.250.010.11521-1614.716.5-1.8214.816.2-1.41
Carlos Boozer58570.250.25-0.00-0.281881015.614.70.9515.414.90.50
Nazr Mohammed16150.240.26-0.02-0.03917-816.415.01.3516.115.11.00
Marco Belinelli49490.230.27-0.03-0.442332014.516.0-1.4916.414.02.39
Kirk Hinrich40400.220.28-0.050.11422-1815.215.3-0.0915.115.3-0.17
Jimmy Butler21190.010.49-0.47-0.16620-1414.115.6-1.4915.115.3-0.15
Vladimir Radmanovic430.000.50-0.500.06-228-3018.015.12.8711.315.4-4.02
Marquis Teague660.000.50-0.500.06-228-3016.315.21.1515.015.2-0.24
Daequan Cook430.000.50-0.500.06-228-3018.015.12.8711.315.4-4.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 102, CHH 1210.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
LAL 87, GSW 950.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,195.6%
ATL 83, TOR 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%