inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 94 Excitement4.7 [893] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +34.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers 109 Comeback2.2 [753] LVPPaul Millsap (ATL): -16.7%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kent Bazemore0.120,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.11-0.00-0.011572%0.193-0.072100%0.01
Jeff Teague0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.030.03-0.031370%0.206-0.11450%-0.03
Al Horford0.080,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.010.011757%0.101-0.0310%-0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.01850%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kirk Hinrich0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Scott0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Muscala-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dennis Schroder-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.03824%-0.0300.0010%-0.02
Kris Humphries-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.030.000.00337%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Kyle Korver-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.01530%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Paul Millsap-0.170,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.13-0.04-0.001427%-0.102-0.06560%-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.350.350.270.090.011692%0.434-0.085100%0.03
Tristan Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.03-0.02647%0.0700.00771%0.02
Matthew Dellavedova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.06-0.00-0.01859%0.0700.001100%0.00
Channing Frye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.030.02-0.04550%0.062-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Love0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.00-0.02850%0.051-0.034100%0.03
Kyrie Irving0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.04-0.010.022859%0.126-0.123100%0.01
James Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sasha Kaun00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan McRae0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.03425%-0.0110.0000%0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.02520%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.32.529.415.430.62.524.6126.2
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +33.5%
CLE +12.9%
ATL -2.9%
CLE +5.2%
CLE +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLCLENBAATLCLENBA
this game13.915.814.997.9111.2105.1
season14.215.8104.1110.3
opponent14.915.1103.7100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL12.516.513.513.513.9
CLE14.115.514.719.215.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kent Bazemore58550.02-0.520.53-0.073-182113.314.9-1.6215.416.2-0.81
Kirk Hinrich88-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-151513.114.0-0.8622.415.27.21
Mike Muscala1415-0.01-0.490.47-0.072-171913.514.0-0.4921.714.77.06
Kris Humphries2021-0.03-0.470.44-0.030-151513.614.0-0.4018.015.12.92
Kyle Korver6767-0.18-0.320.15-0.232-171914.013.70.3315.316.8-1.54
Dennis Schroder3134-0.21-0.290.080.08-10-5-514.213.80.3616.615.31.32
Jeff Teague6565-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.13-5-10513.814.2-0.3615.117.1-1.97
Tim Hardaway Jr.3133-0.29-0.21-0.090.06-12-3-913.514.1-0.6917.814.73.16
Al Horford6971-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.07-8-7-114.113.40.6614.917.9-2.95
Paul Millsap6666-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.02-10-5-513.514.9-1.4814.518.4-3.98
Mike Scott2323-0.34-0.16-0.190.07-14-1-1315.213.51.7116.015.70.32
Thabo Sefolosha2832-0.550.05-0.600.12-238-3115.713.22.5914.016.6-2.61

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
J.R. Smith67660.440.060.39-0.0617-21915.217.0-1.8213.714.5-0.80
Kyrie Irving83820.440.060.380.12114715.815.70.1013.615.6-2.02
LeBron James67660.410.090.310.031321114.817.8-3.0014.412.81.67
Matthew Dellavedova43400.370.130.24-0.011321115.715.8-0.1414.513.50.96
Kevin Love59600.350.150.200.0996315.516.2-0.7013.814.1-0.36
Richard Jefferson46440.230.27-0.05-0.0496317.314.42.8413.814.0-0.18
Tristan Thompson75740.190.31-0.130.04510-515.616.1-0.4913.415.5-2.11
Channing Frye31300.060.44-0.390.12-217-1917.015.21.8214.513.70.80
Jordan McRae13120.020.48-0.460.02015-1517.015.61.4416.513.52.95
James Jones330.000.50-0.500.00015-1516.715.70.9411.314.0-2.67
Sasha Kaun330.000.50-0.500.00015-1516.715.70.9411.314.0-2.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 76, DET 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.77,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%
MEM 82, SAS 1110.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.32,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
LAL 87, GSW 950.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,194.8%