NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	97		Excitement	6.4 [526]		MVP	Alan Anderson (BKN): +20.3%
Atlanta Hawks	107		Comeback	1.0 [1153]		LVP	Deron Williams (BKN): -14.0%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Anderson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.21	0.01	0.01	11	100%	0.25	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.16	0.04	0.10	-0.02	13	64%	0.32	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.16,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	15	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	10	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	13	45%	-0.07	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Deron Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	8	29%	-0.06	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.02	0.13	-0.03	17	59%	0.28	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	14	61%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	15	63%	0.11	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.06	0.03	14	62%	0.18	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Scott	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	11	38%	0.03	2	-0.12	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	3.7	33.2	17.4	31.4	3.4	31.5	145.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +33.5%

BKN -4.9%

ATL +15.4%

ATL +5.4%

ATL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	ATL	NBA	BKN	ATL	NBA
this game	15.5	15.5	15.1	104.3	115.1	104.2
season	15.3	14.9		102.9	106.7
opponent	15.4	15.3		101.8	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.3	15.7	17.3	14.7	15.5
ATL	15.7	14.9	15.5	15.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mason Plumlee	13	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-9	8	15.2	15.5	-0.36	17.5	15.2	2.29
Jarrett Jack	62	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.27	4	-14	18	15.0	16.5	-1.53	15.4	15.6	-0.21
Bojan Bogdanovic	54	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-6	2	16.3	14.3	2.08	15.9	15.0	0.88
Alan Anderson	63	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.19	-3	-7	4	15.2	15.9	-0.70	15.2	16.1	-0.89
Brook Lopez	76	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-3	-4	15.3	16.1	-0.80	15.2	16.9	-1.70
Joe Johnson	85	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-6	2	15.9	10.9	5.02	15.3	17.6	-2.32
Deron Williams	62	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	0	-10	15.0	16.3	-1.24	16.0	14.4	1.63
Thaddeus Young	50	47	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	0.13	-25	15	-40	15.5	15.4	0.12	15.2	15.8	-0.68

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	82	83	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-3	16	15.4	16.6	-1.28	15.3	16.6	-1.27
Paul Millsap	79	80	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.09	14	-4	18	15.4	16.3	-0.92	15.5	15.1	0.45
Kyle Korver	78	78	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.08	13	-3	16	15.5	15.5	-0.03	15.6	15.0	0.55
Jeff Teague	73	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-2	14	15.2	16.8	-1.65	15.7	14.5	1.21
Al Horford	67	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.06	10	0	10	15.3	16.1	-0.85	15.4	15.8	-0.41
Pero Antic	36	35	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	3	4	15.3	15.6	-0.28	15.1	15.7	-0.51
Kent Bazemore	26	24	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	15	-20	15.5	15.5	-0.06	15.6	15.4	0.16
Dennis Schroder	20	21	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	12	-14	16.8	15.2	1.65	14.5	15.7	-1.21
Shelvin Mack	1	1	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	13	-16	27.0	15.4	11.62	17.0	15.4	1.55
Mike Scott	3	3	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.10	-9	19	-28	27.3	15.1	12.22	20.0	15.3	4.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.8,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.82,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.67,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 93, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.9,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.64,0.57,0.73,1	92.6%
ATL 94, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.82,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.79,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.78,0.85,1	92.5%
PHX 121, POR 124	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.89,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.8,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.84,1	92.5%