NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	121		Excitement	8.0 [267]		MVP	Eric Bledsoe (PHX): +58.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	124		Comeback	1.0 [1087]		LVP	Ed Davis (POR): -7.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.59	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.31,0.59	0.24	0.35	0.00	13	82%	0.63	2	-0.04	12	92%	0.08
Devin Booker	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12	0.06	0.07	0.00	18	56%	0.19	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
PJ Tucker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	5	69%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	5	71%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marquese Chriss	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dragan Bender	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
TJ Warren	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	12	46%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Brandon Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	10	55%	0.06	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.21,0.43	0.43	0.15	0.26	-0.02	23	66%	0.54	4	-0.11	12	92%	0.14
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.21	0.07	0.02	18	75%	0.32	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.13	-0.00	11	83%	0.30	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.02	6	71%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	3	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	38%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	8	31%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	-0.00	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	29.4	15.0	26.2	2.6	41.1	141.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +40.0%

PHX -14.0%

POR +28.5%

PHX -10.1%

POR +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	13.6	14.5	14.8	118.6	120.4	107.7
season	13.9	14.9		105.4	108.6
opponent	14.5	14.5		109.8	110.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.9	14.0	15.3	12.4	13.6
POR	13.8	14.2	15.4	14.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dragan Bender	48	49	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.46	19	-22	41	12.6	14.4	-1.86	15.8	13.4	2.39
Leandro Barbosa	31	31	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.23	10	-13	23	12.9	13.9	-0.96	15.6	14.0	1.60
PJ Tucker	63	65	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.51	18	-21	39	13.1	14.4	-1.32	15.2	13.3	1.96
Brandon Knight	41	42	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.23	8	-11	19	12.3	14.4	-2.17	15.4	13.9	1.53
Jared Dudley	49	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.25	4	-7	11	12.7	14.4	-1.72	15.0	14.1	0.95
Alex Len	37	37	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	15	-33	14.6	13.0	1.65	12.6	15.6	-3.01
Devin Booker	66	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	6	-15	13.8	13.1	0.79	14.3	14.9	-0.57
TJ Warren	66	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	6	-15	13.8	13.1	0.79	14.3	14.9	-0.57
Eric Bledsoe	66	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.12	-15	12	-27	14.4	12.0	2.38	13.6	16.2	-2.52
Marquese Chriss	43	43	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.09	-23	20	-43	15.1	12.5	2.64	13.4	15.3	-1.90

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	81	80	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.31	19	-16	35	14.2	15.7	-1.47	13.7	13.1	0.55
Mason Plumlee	66	65	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.23	14	-11	25	15.3	13.1	2.21	13.5	13.7	-0.25
Maurice Harkless	68	68	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-12	27	15.1	13.4	1.70	14.2	12.3	1.96
Damian Lillard	80	79	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-6	15	14.4	14.9	-0.44	13.8	12.9	0.90
Allen Crabbe	66	66	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.41	-6	9	-15	15.1	13.4	1.70	13.5	13.6	-0.07
Al-Farouq Aminu	10	10	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.11	9	-6	15	12.5	14.7	-2.24	13.6	13.6	0.03
Shabazz Napier	21	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	8	-13	14.8	14.5	0.36	16.6	12.9	3.70
Noah Vonleh	35	34	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.23	-12	15	-27	13.4	15.1	-1.70	12.3	14.2	-1.96
Ed Davis	37	37	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.18	-11	14	-25	13.1	15.3	-2.21	13.7	13.5	0.25
Evan Turner	51	52	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.22	-17	20	-37	14.7	14.4	0.28	12.0	15.2	-3.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.89,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.8,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.69,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.97,0.97,1,1	93.3%
ATL 91, CHA 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.74,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.68,0.73,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.98,1	93.3%
NOP 83, UTA 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.85,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.93,0.97,1,1	92.7%