NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	91		Excitement	5.1 [809]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +11.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	98		Comeback	1.1 [923]		LVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): -14.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	10	68%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ronald Murray	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	12	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	65%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	12	48%	-0.02	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	13	46%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	15	38%	-0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	13	72%	0.16	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.02	13	55%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	5	55%	0.07	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	12	55%	0.06	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	3	83%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	81%	0.13	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	13	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.5	28.6	15.6	23.0	2.5	36.5	129.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +51.8%

CHA +3.1%

CHA +10.3%

ATL -11.5%

ATL -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHA	NBA	ATL	CHA	NBA
this game	16.6	17.5	15.5	107.1	116.7	106.4
season	15.8	16.5		106.7	103.0
opponent	15.6	16.1		104.5	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.7	14.5	16.6	16.3	16.6
CHA	14.0	20.8	17.7	18.0	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Acie Law	7	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-7	7	21.6	16.1	5.46	13.6	17.8	-4.17
Ronald Murray	45	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-10	13	16.3	16.8	-0.54	17.4	17.7	-0.29
Josh Smith	39	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-4	1	15.7	17.3	-1.66	18.1	17.1	0.97
Zaza Pachulia	22	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	2	-11	18.2	16.0	2.24	18.9	17.1	1.78
Maurice Evans	33	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-5	3	18.9	15.1	3.88	20.6	15.5	5.03
Al Horford	67	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-3	-1	16.6	16.4	0.15	16.6	21.1	-4.43
Mike Bibby	64	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-5	3	15.1	21.1	-6.02	17.2	18.8	-1.64
Joe Johnson	71	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.31	-5	-2	-3	16.4	17.5	-1.12	17.7	16.1	1.65
Marvin Williams	77	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	6	-19	16.6	16.2	0.35	16.8	23.0	-6.22

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	65	64	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.18	20	-13	33	17.6	17.3	0.34	16.0	18.3	-2.29
Raymond Felton	73	75	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.15	13	-6	19	15.6	30.5	-14.88	16.1	19.8	-3.67
Raja Bell	73	71	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	0	7	17.7	16.1	1.65	16.4	17.5	-1.12
Emeka Okafor	59	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	4	-1	15.9	21.4	-5.46	15.1	19.7	-4.60
Boris Diaw	76	77	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.23	2	5	-3	15.8	33.9	-18.07	16.4	18.1	-1.72
DeSagana Diop	25	27	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	5	-3	21.4	15.9	5.46	19.7	15.1	4.60
D.J. Augustin	22	24	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	11	-15	23.3	15.5	7.79	18.5	15.8	2.64
Vladimir Radmanovic	27	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.18	-8	15	-23	22.2	15.3	6.87	18.2	15.7	2.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.74,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.68,0.73,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 83, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.74,0.67,0.8,0.74,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	93.9%
SAS 103, PHX 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.98,1	93.8%
PHI 83, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.67,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.94,0.93,0.81,0.89,1,1,1	93.8%