NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	83		Excitement	6.1 [583]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +14.5%
Houston Rockets	99		Comeback	1.0 [557]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -14.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	6	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Baron Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	-0.02	10	67%	0.07	4	-0.09	1	0%	-0.03
Dale Ellis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	17	38%	-0.02	1	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	22	42%	-0.06	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Mason	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	17%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
David Wesley	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	10	18%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.08	0.02	15	66%	0.17	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	9	70%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	10	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	9	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	24	41%	-0.06	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.6	26.8	17.0	25.2	2.4	23.6	121.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +35.5%

HOU +1.8%

CHH -9.3%

HOU +20.6%

HOU +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	HOU	NBA	CHH	HOU	NBA
this game	14.1	15.9	15.2	87.4	102.1	101.7
season	14.9	15.4		101.5	102.4
opponent	14.6	15.1		103.5	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	13.7	13.4	14.1	15.3	14.1
HOU	15.1	15.9	14.1	19.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Ellis	16	17	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.10	6	-22	28	11.9	14.5	-2.58	16.7	15.7	0.98
Ricky Davis	32	34	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.18	8	-24	32	12.7	14.8	-2.01	14.6	16.6	-2.01
Brad Miller	38	38	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.21	9	-25	34	13.4	14.5	-1.11	14.1	17.1	-3.03
Eddie Robinson	61	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-11	6	12.6	16.7	-4.08	15.5	16.6	-1.03
Baron Davis	57	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	-14	12	13.6	14.9	-1.31	16.6	14.9	1.61
Anthony Mason	46	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-2	-12	14.4	13.8	0.55	15.5	16.3	-0.84
Elden Campbell	36	37	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.13	-16	0	-16	15.6	13.2	2.41	17.3	15.0	2.26
David Wesley	49	50	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	1	-18	15.4	12.6	2.82	15.7	16.1	-0.32
Derrick Coleman	58	59	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.19	-27	11	-38	15.0	12.6	2.40	17.1	14.1	3.03
Eddie Jones	82	83	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.04	-22	6	-28	14.5	11.5	2.95	15.8	16.5	-0.70

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	85	84	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.06	20	-4	24	15.7	17.1	-1.35	14.2	12.8	1.43
Kenny Thomas	59	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.00	13	3	10	17.2	13.9	3.25	13.8	14.6	-0.78
Shandon Anderson	64	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	4	8	14.4	18.8	-4.47	14.1	14.0	0.08
Matt Bullard	54	53	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.07	14	2	12	14.9	17.1	-2.15	14.1	14.1	0.02
Hakeem Olajuwon	37	36	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	10	-4	13.9	17.1	-3.29	12.9	14.8	-1.84
Cuttino Mobley	54	52	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	12	-8	16.5	15.1	1.44	14.0	14.2	-0.14
Bryce Drew	26	25	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	10	-4	18.7	14.9	3.87	14.8	13.8	0.92
Kelvin Cato	39	38	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	12	-8	17.4	14.9	2.57	14.5	13.8	0.65
Anthony Miller	21	21	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	10	-4	16.6	15.7	0.92	15.3	13.7	1.60
Walt Williams	46	46	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.16	-5	21	-26	15.5	16.3	-0.84	13.8	14.3	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.74,0.67,0.8,0.74,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.93,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 89, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.98,1	94.5%
IND 81, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.78,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
ATL 91, CHA 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.74,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.68,0.73,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.98,1	93.9%