NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	5.5 [698]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +19.9%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	1.0 [1236]		LVP	Ronnie Brewer (UTA): -13.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.01	10	73%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Jeff Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	9	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
T.J. Ford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	9	50%	-0.02	3	-0.04	8	62%	-0.03
Danny Granger	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.08	0.02	19	53%	0.03	3	-0.10	11	91%	0.02
Dahntay Jones	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	6	29%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.01	-0.02	21	65%	0.26	3	-0.07	12	58%	-0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	13	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	81%	0.12	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	42%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	7	55%	0.05	4	-0.13	6	50%	-0.04
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.03	9	11%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	0.8	30.2	15.0	29.1	1.8	36.4	137.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +21.9%

UTA +1.1%

UTA +27.1%

IND -1.6%

UTA +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	UTA	NBA	IND	UTA	NBA
this game	12.3	16.9	15.3	88.8	97.0	106.0
season	14.2	15.3		102.2	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.1		104.5	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.4	11.4	11.3	12.2	12.3
UTA	16.3	16.7	16.8	17.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	37	39	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.16	10	-19	29	11.0	13.1	-2.04	17.8	16.3	1.44
Mike Dunleavy	44	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-9	9	11.2	13.1	-1.90	17.1	16.7	0.44
Roy Hibbert	30	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-10	11	11.9	12.5	-0.52	18.6	16.3	2.30
Jeff Foster	48	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-7	5	12.6	12.0	0.60	16.8	17.0	-0.16
Brandon Rush	39	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.20	2	-11	13	12.4	12.2	0.19	17.5	16.5	0.97
Tyler Hansbrough	18	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-5	1	10.6	12.7	-2.13	16.2	17.1	-0.94
Danny Granger	85	85	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-6	3	12.0	14.0	-1.96	17.2	15.2	1.99
Troy Murphy	66	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.13	-13	4	-17	13.2	10.3	2.90	16.4	17.9	-1.48
Dahntay Jones	59	58	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.10	-16	7	-23	13.1	11.1	1.98	16.0	18.2	-2.18
T.J. Ford	64	63	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.09	-20	11	-31	12.7	11.4	1.31	16.4	17.9	-1.52

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	72	73	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.05	17	-8	25	16.5	18.0	-1.54	12.7	11.1	1.58
Mehmet Okur	59	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	-8	25	16.0	18.3	-2.36	12.1	12.6	-0.51
Deron Williams	68	67	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	-2	13	17.2	16.3	0.92	13.1	10.6	2.46
Ronnie Brewer	70	70	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	-2	13	16.6	17.7	-1.14	12.4	11.9	0.51
Paul Millsap	65	63	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	8	-7	16.8	17.1	-0.35	11.6	13.5	-1.90
Carlos Boozer	74	75	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.27	0	9	-9	17.8	14.4	3.42	13.0	9.9	3.11
Andrei Kirilenko	29	28	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	11	-13	17.7	16.6	1.14	11.9	12.4	-0.51
Eric Maynor	31	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	11	-13	16.3	17.2	-0.92	10.6	13.1	-2.46
CJ Miles	27	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.19	-8	17	-25	18.0	16.5	1.54	11.1	12.7	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.69,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.97,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 87, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	94.9%
HOU 100, CHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1	94.3%
DEN 114, BOS 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.72,0.83,0.71,0.78,0.93,0.96,1,1,1	94.1%