NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	4.7 [842]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +20.3%
Chicago Bulls	106		Comeback	1.0 [1202]		LVP	Kevin Willis (HOU): -16.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emanual Davis	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.00	0.05	14	80%	0.20	4	-0.14	16	69%	-0.01
Matt Bullard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	0.00	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	9	68%	0.05	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Matt Maloney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Mario Elie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	8	33%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Willis	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16	-0.14	-0.02	-0.00	11	42%	-0.05	5	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.10	0.01	29	64%	0.30	4	-0.09	12	92%	0.03
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luc Longley	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.5	29.3	18.8	25.3	3.5	38.2	141.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +34.6%

HOU -6.5%

HOU -1.6%

CHI +17.8%

CHI +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHI	NBA	HOU	CHI	NBA
this game	17.3	15.8	15.6	113.6	123.3	102.5
season	15.7	16.2		104.5	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.2		97.9	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.5	17.3	17.9	15.2	17.3
CHI	14.2	17.9	12.6	19.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Price	13	13	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-10	14	16.5	17.4	-0.86	22.5	14.6	7.92
Charles Jones	2	2	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-6	6	21.5	17.2	4.33	20.0	15.7	4.29
Emanual Davis	26	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.23	6	-12	18	17.7	17.1	0.65	19.0	14.6	4.48
Othella Harrington	32	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-8	10	17.5	17.1	0.36	16.9	15.2	1.73
Matt Bullard	19	17	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.21	1	-7	8	13.2	18.4	-5.25	16.8	15.6	1.18
Eddie Johnson	68	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.47	8	-14	22	16.4	20.1	-3.72	16.3	14.3	1.91
Mario Elie	24	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	6	-18	17.7	17.1	0.66	14.0	16.6	-2.56
Matt Maloney	49	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.06	-15	9	-24	18.9	15.3	3.62	13.7	18.6	-4.88
Charles Barkley	77	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-3	0	17.2	17.5	-0.31	15.8	16.2	-0.44
Rodrick Rhodes	65	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	4	-14	17.9	15.4	2.55	14.8	18.6	-3.79
Kevin Willis	65	61	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.15	-11	5	-16	17.1	17.8	-0.75	15.2	17.4	-2.24

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Longley	61	62	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-7	20	15.3	17.0	-1.62	18.4	14.5	3.88
Michael Jordan	75	77	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.22	9	-3	12	15.3	19.0	-3.65	17.0	18.9	-1.87
Ron Harper	48	48	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.02	10	-4	14	14.7	17.2	-2.46	19.2	15.0	4.21
Toni Kukoc	34	34	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.19	3	3	0	14.9	16.4	-1.44	17.0	17.4	-0.40
Dennis Rodman	63	64	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	5	-4	16.2	14.7	1.47	17.5	16.7	0.78
Scott Burrell	28	30	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.27	-4	10	-14	18.7	14.4	4.35	14.7	18.6	-3.85
Jud Buechler	1	1	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.01	2	4	-2	21.0	15.8	5.25	1.0	17.5	-16.46
Joe Kleine	7	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	6	-6	16.6	15.7	0.82	13.1	17.7	-4.56
Jason Caffey	24	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	9	-12	16.3	15.6	0.72	16.0	17.8	-1.83
Randy Brown	24	25	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.15	-10	16	-26	18.7	14.7	3.96	17.6	17.1	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 81, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%
TOR 92, PHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.83,0.94,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.4%
IND 87, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.69,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.97,0.97,1,1	94.3%