inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 92 Excitement3.1 [1161] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +19.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder 105 Comeback1.8 [704] LVPReggie Jackson (OKC): -6.9%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard0.030,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.02950%0.041-0.012100%0.01
Matt Bonner0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.080.000.074100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.04761%0.011-0.00475%-0.00
Tim Duncan0.000,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00845%0.0000.00475%0.00
Patty Mills-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.07922%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Ayres-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.01133%-0.0100.00450%-0.00
Tiago Splitter-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02337%-0.001-0.01250%-0.01
Aron Baynes-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03325%-0.001-0.012100%0.00
Marco Belinelli-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.000.05470%-0.001-0.022100%0.00
Tony Parker-0.030,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.020.001258%0.043-0.0700%0.00
Boris Diaw-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.010.051158%-0.012-0.022100%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00831%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Danny Green-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.02437%0.013-0.0600%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.130.01-0.052258%0.2000.00978%-0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.170.010.042465%0.143-0.0014100%0.04
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00-0.03350%0.0300.0020%-0.01
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.03845%0.031-0.01425%-0.01
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00-0.01744%0.0100.002100%0.01
Nick Collison00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Perry Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.011100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.04275%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.000.00530%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.33.730.519.728.33.636.0148.1
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +28.1%
OKC +6.1%
SAS -0.2%
OKC +13.8%
OKC +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASOKCNBASASOKCNBA
this game15.714.615.197.9109.4105.2
season15.014.4109.8107.8
opponent15.415.0102.9101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.215.716.015.015.7
OKC14.513.814.715.714.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aron Baynes25250.00-0.500.51-0.269-223113.716.4-2.7015.114.50.62
Matt Bonner3230-0.01-0.490.48-0.3612-253715.016.1-1.0615.414.31.18
Cory Joseph3535-0.02-0.480.46-0.3411-243514.416.5-2.0715.014.40.64
Jeff Ayres1819-0.02-0.480.46-0.113-161915.615.7-0.1815.514.41.06
Patty Mills2020-0.05-0.450.41-0.081-141514.016.2-2.1614.714.60.16
Danny Green2729-0.09-0.410.320.14-8-5-317.415.02.3915.014.50.49
Manu Ginobili2023-0.25-0.250.010.05-10-3-715.915.60.3114.414.7-0.31
Tim Duncan4648-0.25-0.250.010.16-141-1516.914.52.3714.814.40.42
Tiago Splitter3839-0.28-0.22-0.060.10-130-1316.615.11.5214.514.7-0.23
Marco Belinelli5252-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.11-7-6-115.116.4-1.2713.516.0-2.45
Kawhi Leonard4850-0.34-0.16-0.180.25-207-2716.015.40.6514.614.6-0.01
Tony Parker4849-0.43-0.07-0.360.10-185-2317.114.32.7814.914.30.56
Boris Diaw6566-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.10-12-1-1114.817.8-2.9714.215.6-1.37

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Russell Westbrook90900.55-0.050.600.1414-11514.318.8-4.4915.911.74.13
Kevin Durant82780.450.050.400.0414-11514.813.71.0716.113.72.35
Serge Ibaka68640.370.130.230.04112915.013.81.1816.713.53.19
Jeremy Lamb38390.360.140.220.04112914.115.0-0.9515.316.0-0.72
Steven Adams52520.350.150.200.2058-314.215.1-0.8615.316.2-0.88
Caron Butler46470.300.200.090.1558-313.915.3-1.3715.715.70.09
Kendrick Perkins44410.140.36-0.22-0.0985315.114.20.8616.515.11.39
Derek Fisher20190.020.48-0.45-0.01112-1114.514.6-0.0913.616.2-2.60
Nick Collison10130.020.48-0.470.10-316-1914.014.7-0.7011.516.4-4.83
Perry Jones330.000.50-0.500.03-114-1514.714.60.048.016.0-7.96
Reggie Jackson2724-0.050.55-0.60-0.05013-1316.513.92.6316.015.60.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 69, WAS 1140.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
DEN 102, GSW 1160.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
DAL 102, DEN 1050.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.97,0.99,196.3%