inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 102 Excitement3.2 [1161] MVPKevin Durant (GSW): +17.2%
Golden State Warriors 116 Comeback1.6 [1047] LVPGary Harris (DEN): -6.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monte Morris0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.030.03953%0.0500.001100%0.00
Paul Millsap0.030,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.00-0.041244%0.041-0.011100%0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.100.000.10491%0.0000.00367%0.00
Juancho Hernangomez0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Isaiah Thomas-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03850%-0.0000.004100%0.00
Torrey Craig-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01542%-0.0200.00250%0.00
Jamal Murray-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.010.011453%0.012-0.034100%0.00
Mason Plumlee-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01430%-0.021-0.02250%-0.00
Malik Beasley-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.01350%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Nikola Jokic-0.050,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.12-0.00-0.071043%-0.006-0.05367%-0.01
Trey Lyles-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.000.06554%-0.031-0.023100%-0.00
Will Barton-0.060,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.021238%-0.032-0.0320%-0.02
Gary Harris-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.00927%-0.0700.004100%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.180.010.011378%0.1700.001100%0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.040.00-0.08638%0.042-0.0010%-0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Quinn Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.03540%0.0110.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01550%0.0000.0020%-0.00
Shaun Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0400%0.0020.0000%0.00
Jordan Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.0730%0.0010.0000%0.00
Kevon Looney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.03771%0.002-0.0100%0.00
Klay Thompson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.031543%0.032-0.0400%0.00
DeMarcus Cousins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.110.010.131774%0.045-0.06450%-0.03
Draymond Green0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.05650%0.034-0.0500%0.00
Stephen Curry0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.06-0.000.081177%0.044-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.526.316.431.52.830.4133.3
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +50.5%
DEN -3.9%
GSW +5.1%
DEN -1.8%
GSW +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENGSWNBADENGSWNBA
this game13.413.614.396.2108.4109.3
season14.813.4112.0114.5
opponent15.014.6108.9108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.014.712.511.613.4
GSW12.314.113.215.013.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jarred Vanderbilt18180.00-0.500.50-0.4716-30469.914.1-4.2414.113.50.57
Juancho Hernangomez17170.00-0.500.50-0.4114-284210.214.0-3.8514.413.50.92
Isaiah Thomas2424-0.00-0.500.50-0.3211-253610.914.1-3.2214.213.50.74
Torrey Craig4040-0.06-0.440.37-0.246-202612.114.2-2.1414.812.91.94
Trey Lyles4040-0.10-0.400.29-0.162-161812.314.1-1.7814.713.01.66
Gary Harris5756-0.23-0.270.040.06-10-4-613.813.00.7513.014.3-1.30
Nikola Jokic6161-0.24-0.260.020.05-10-4-614.012.61.3213.314.0-0.72
Jamal Murray6363-0.24-0.260.010.11-12-2-1013.912.71.1113.214.2-0.97
Mason Plumlee4949-0.25-0.25-0.010.27-184-2213.413.40.0414.413.01.39
Monte Morris3234-0.27-0.23-0.040.26-184-2214.512.91.5714.313.30.92
Malik Beasley2830-0.28-0.22-0.050.19-162-1814.613.01.5814.413.31.11
Paul Millsap4446-0.40-0.10-0.310.12-184-2215.012.22.8012.214.8-2.60
Will Barton5757-0.41-0.09-0.330.08-173-2014.312.31.9712.614.9-2.30

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Draymond Green67660.440.060.37-0.1520-62612.914.8-1.9414.212.12.14
Stephen Curry66660.420.080.34-0.3125-113613.214.4-1.2614.411.72.70
Andre Iguodala41390.370.130.24-0.3424-103414.013.40.5114.512.81.71
Kevin Durant45460.270.230.04-0.081221013.513.7-0.1814.912.22.66
Klay Thompson66670.200.30-0.09-0.09104613.414.0-0.6313.313.6-0.29
Alfonzo McKinnie42400.200.30-0.110.46-923-3213.413.8-0.3411.314.7-3.30
Kevon Looney29270.180.32-0.140.21-115-1613.313.8-0.4912.113.9-1.79
Andrew Bogut760.150.35-0.19-0.0577015.313.51.7721.012.98.05
DeMarcus Cousins65660.100.40-0.29-0.22113813.613.6-0.0113.513.20.33
Shaun Livingston32320.100.40-0.30-0.0868-215.113.02.0414.013.10.90
Quinn Cook33330.060.44-0.380.41-1226-3814.013.50.5711.214.4-3.27
Jonas Jerebko27270.010.49-0.490.24-822-3015.013.21.8711.614.0-2.38
Jordan Bell15150.000.50-0.500.44-1529-4413.613.6-0.049.514.0-4.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 73, MIL 920.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
WAS 84, BOS 1130.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
MIL 86, IND 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,196.5%