NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	84		Excitement	3.6 [662]		MVP	Dana Barros (BOS): +5.6%
Boston Celtics	113		Comeback	1.5 [502]		LVP	Ben Wallace (WAS): -9.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Legler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Coker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Randell Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	7	31%	-0.00	3	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.02	18	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	11	58%	0.03	6	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Rod Strickland	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	61%	0.00	6	-0.09	5	80%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	10	28%	-0.07	1	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.15	0.00	0.10	8	111%	0.12	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	10	75%	0.07	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	12	63%	0.08	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	13	52%	0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Dwayne Schintzius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marlon Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	17	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Eric Riley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	12	42%	-0.01	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	25.6	15.5	26.9	1.7	25.3	120.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +34.7%

BOS +4.1%

BOS +4.3%

BOS +6.2%

BOS +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	16.6	12.4	15.8	84.8	113.0	99.6
season	15.5	15.0		98.8	98.1
opponent	15.8	15.9		100.0	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.6	16.9	16.7	17.2	16.6
BOS	12.7	12.4	13.3	11.2	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahidi White	15	16	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-25	21	16.6	16.6	0.02	12.7	12.3	0.44
Tim Legler	42	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.28	-13	-16	3	17.2	16.1	1.05	11.4	13.1	-1.69
John Coker	25	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.25	-13	-16	3	17.4	16.3	1.04	10.0	13.1	-3.13
Chris Whitney	45	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-28	27	15.7	17.3	-1.64	12.8	12.0	0.87
Jeff McInnis	18	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.09	-8	-21	13	15.4	16.8	-1.40	10.7	12.7	-2.02
Randell Jackson	31	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.24	-14	-15	1	17.9	16.0	1.87	12.7	12.2	0.47
Calbert Cheaney	36	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.15	-12	-17	5	17.0	16.4	0.61	11.9	12.6	-0.72
Rod Strickland	72	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.19	-18	-11	-7	16.7	16.1	0.60	12.7	11.5	1.17
Ben Wallace	69	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.08	-15	-14	-1	16.5	16.8	-0.31	13.0	11.0	1.92
Otis Thorpe	71	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.17	-20	-9	-11	15.7	18.7	-3.02	12.5	12.2	0.29
Mitch Richmond	71	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.37	-27	-2	-25	16.8	16.0	0.87	12.9	11.1	1.82

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	72	69	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.44	32	-3	35	12.4	12.2	0.23	16.7	16.3	0.41
Paul Pierce	75	74	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.13	19	10	9	12.6	11.6	0.99	16.6	16.4	0.20
Damon Jones	47	45	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.13	16	13	3	11.7	13.0	-1.28	16.8	16.4	0.43
Ron Mercer	72	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.19	18	11	7	12.8	11.4	1.37	16.5	16.7	-0.14
Eric Riley	23	23	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	17	-5	12.3	12.4	-0.04	17.1	16.4	0.65
Greg Minor	20	21	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	22	-15	12.9	12.2	0.65	17.5	16.3	1.19
Dana Barros	53	54	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.26	15	14	1	13.0	11.7	1.28	16.4	16.8	-0.43
Vitaly Potapenko	51	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	23	-17	13.0	11.7	1.27	16.1	17.1	-1.05
Marlon Garnett	27	25	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.32	12	17	-5	10.8	13.0	-2.19	17.2	16.4	0.77
Dwayne Schintzius	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	28	-27	10.0	12.7	-2.67	14.0	16.9	-2.91
Tony Battie	49	49	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.22	7	22	-15	11.9	12.8	-0.91	16.6	16.6	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
LAL 93, UTA 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
NYK 71, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%