inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 69 Excitement3.5 [1081] MVPShammond Williams (BOS): +7.2%
Washington Wizards 114 Comeback1.6 [552] LVPAntoine Walker (BOS): -20.2%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shammond Williams0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.01-0.06856%0.071-0.002100%0.01
Tony Battie0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.023100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Tony Delk0.030,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.00-0.04750%0.031-0.002100%0.01
Walter McCarty0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ruben Wolkowyski0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04325%0.0000.0020%0.00
J.R. Bremer-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.0430%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Eric Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.010.01450%-0.0200.0020%-0.03
Vin Baker-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01941%-0.031-0.02475%-0.00
Bruno Sundov-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.10-0.00-0.051123%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Paul Pierce-0.150,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.01-0.011631%-0.131-0.02786%0.01
Antoine Walker-0.200,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.02-0.021636%-0.057-0.151100%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.010.04780%0.0510.0010%0.00
Michael Jordan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.010.031560%0.0500.005100%0.02
Kwame Brown0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.00-0.001269%0.073-0.03580%0.00
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.00-0.00862%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.02386%0.0300.0010%-0.02
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03560%0.0000.0000%0.00
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04287%0.0000.00475%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.001458%0.013-0.0410100%0.03
Brendan Haywood0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.01545%-0.021-0.021100%0.00
Bryon Russell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.090.00-0.04926%-0.031-0.011100%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.12-0.01-0.0120%-0.034-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.33.531.220.524.43.728.3139.9
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +27.2%
WAS +12.4%
WAS +12.1%
BOS -1.9%
WAS +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSWASNBABOSWASNBA
this game15.515.915.574.2125.3101.6
season15.616.599.3100.9
opponent15.515.5101.999.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.514.617.615.415.5
WAS17.613.615.916.615.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Battie26270.01-0.510.51-0.176-515713.816.1-2.3419.014.54.42
Ruben Wolkowyski12130.00-0.500.500.50-17-281116.615.31.3013.616.2-2.62
Eric Williams3938-0.02-0.480.45-0.144-495315.015.8-0.7817.714.63.09
J.R. Bremer1516-0.05-0.450.390.56-21-24319.714.65.0313.216.4-3.24
Bruno Sundov3030-0.08-0.420.330.59-23-22-115.515.40.0215.815.9-0.04
Tony Delk5148-0.13-0.370.230.22-12-332113.417.9-4.5216.515.11.36
Vin Baker5148-0.40-0.10-0.300.42-28-17-1116.114.71.3914.617.2-2.61
Shammond Williams6260-0.41-0.09-0.330.85-43-2-4116.513.43.1015.017.5-2.47
Walter McCarty3938-0.41-0.09-0.330.76-40-5-3515.815.20.5915.316.3-0.97
Paul Pierce7373-0.46-0.04-0.420.22-23-22-115.216.4-1.2116.115.01.07
Antoine Walker6764-0.520.02-0.540.30-28-17-1115.415.5-0.1215.915.70.27

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyronn Lue64660.56-0.060.62-0.8849-45315.516.7-1.2616.113.92.25
Jared Jeffries56570.50-0.000.50-0.9650-55514.817.6-2.8316.414.02.32
Michael Jordan41410.470.030.45-0.3829161315.116.5-1.4316.414.71.64
Jerry Stackhouse72730.350.150.20-0.272124-316.513.53.0115.614.70.89
Christian Laettner30330.320.180.14-0.121530-1515.516.0-0.5315.715.30.43
Bryon Russell40430.200.30-0.100.05540-3516.215.50.7013.716.9-3.22
Kwame Brown57590.100.40-0.31-0.291332-1916.914.12.8715.515.30.25
Brendan Haywood42410.050.45-0.41-0.341332-1916.815.01.7713.916.7-2.73
Juan Dixon13120.000.50-0.50-0.501728-1113.616.2-2.6216.615.31.30
Etan Thomas980.000.50-0.50-0.381332-1912.816.2-3.4216.615.31.28
Larry Hughes3132-0.050.55-0.60-0.05045-4516.615.51.1014.016.2-2.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 54, CHI 960.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
SAS 92, OKC 1050.5,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
DAL 102, DEN 1050.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.97,0.99,196.4%