inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 102 Excitement4.0 [1037] MVPGary Harris (DEN): +24.3%
Denver Nuggets 105 Comeback1.7 [929] LVPWesley Matthews (DAL): -8.2%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dennis Smith Jr.0.090,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.090.060.060.021864%0.164-0.063100%0.03
Harrison Barnes0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.080.12-0.000.04971%0.0800.006100%0.03
Salah Mejri0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.002100%0.041-0.001100%0.00
Kyle Collinsworth0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00175%0.0200.00250%-0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0.020,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.01560%0.0200.0000%0.00
Yogi Ferrell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.000.011054%0.022-0.03450%-0.01
Dwight Powell-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00633%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Devin Harris-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.02-0.000.061167%0.054-0.082100%0.01
Maxi Kleber-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.00430%-0.032-0.04250%-0.01
Wesley Matthews-0.080,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.021238%-0.033-0.052100%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.240.240.150.10-0.001469%0.251-0.01875%0.02
Will Barton0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.110.110.020.03-0.061565%0.175-0.07450%-0.01
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.050.05-0.010.02-0.042352%0.125-0.071070%0.01
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.00437%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03542%0.021-0.03250%-0.01
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.01362%0.021-0.02250%-0.00
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01530%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.04837%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.01939%-0.023-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.71.828.314.625.42.541.3140.6
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +29.1%
DAL -2.1%
DEN +19.2%
DAL -1.1%
DEN +4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALDENNBADALDENNBA
this game13.415.414.7101.0106.1107.5
season15.414.7105.3111.2
opponent14.714.3109.9108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL15.415.214.09.313.4
DEN13.414.116.717.315.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Salah Mejri29270.01-0.510.52-0.259-122111.214.3-3.1315.515.40.09
Maxi Kleber3335-0.11-0.390.290.07-63-915.312.52.7714.715.8-1.08
Wesley Matthews7573-0.20-0.300.10-0.469-122112.815.1-2.3015.216.1-0.95
Harrison Barnes7676-0.21-0.290.09-0.448-111912.715.4-2.7015.315.8-0.48
Kyle Collinsworth2120-0.25-0.250.000.01-96-1515.013.01.9516.815.11.80
Dennis Smith Jr.6666-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.311-4513.114.0-0.8715.215.8-0.52
Devin Harris3836-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.10-85-1314.612.71.8415.915.10.79
Dirk Nowitzki4747-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.10-96-1514.812.22.5815.915.00.83
Dwight Powell4441-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.09-107-1714.012.91.0915.515.30.21
Yogi Ferrell7674-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.400-3312.715.4-2.6515.315.9-0.62

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Will Barton88890.460.040.420.267-41115.019.1-4.1413.612.01.60
Nikola Jokic70700.320.180.150.38-25-715.216.0-0.8313.114.1-1.04
Wilson Chandler79790.300.200.100.36-25-715.614.70.8913.214.0-0.76
Mason Plumlee28300.280.220.060.048-51316.515.01.4614.413.01.46
Trey Lyles30310.280.220.050.019-61515.415.4-0.0214.812.82.02
Malik Beasley31310.260.240.020.44-69-1516.914.72.1211.414.3-2.91
Gary Harris76770.250.250.010.2212-115.315.9-0.5913.812.21.52
Jamal Murray64660.210.29-0.080.1521115.415.5-0.0713.114.0-0.95
Torrey Craig29320.140.36-0.220.20-25-714.815.7-0.9313.413.40.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.97,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 54, CHI 960.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
BOS 69, WAS 1140.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
SAS 92, OKC 1050.5,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%