inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 105 Excitement5.1 [815] MVPDanny Green (SAS): +20.1%
San Antonio Spurs 122 Comeback1.2 [920] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -7.5%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Fisher0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.150.010.036100%0.151-0.024100%0.02
Kevin Durant0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.07-0.000.021967%0.206-0.154100%0.01
Steven Adams0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.000.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Andre Roberson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Perry Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Caron Butler-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.010.03650%-0.0200.00667%-0.02
Reggie Jackson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.04-0.030.041159%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00371%0.043-0.071100%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Nick Collison-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.030.012150%0.034-0.11875%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.180.030.017114%0.2000.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.120.010.021961%0.151-0.03683%0.02
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.110.050.081272%0.091-0.011100%0.00
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.000.00383%0.0400.0000%0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.00371%0.0300.001100%0.01
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00475%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.001252%0.041-0.02367%-0.01
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.01-0.04250%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Matt Bonner00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Ayres00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01750%0.032-0.05475%-0.00
Kawhi Leonard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.030.021647%-0.031-0.03250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.03.831.619.430.53.632.5146.1
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +33.2%
OKC -2.8%
OKC -1.2%
SAS +20.0%
SAS +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCSASNBAOKCSASNBA
this game14.615.115.1109.4124.5105.2
season14.415.0107.8109.8
opponent15.015.4101.1102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.315.013.915.214.6
SAS14.513.218.014.815.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremy Lamb14150.01-0.510.52-0.135-222713.414.8-1.4714.315.2-0.95
Andre Roberson450.00-0.500.50-0.124-21259.214.8-5.6016.215.01.19
Perry Jones450.00-0.500.50-0.124-21259.214.8-5.6016.215.01.19
Nick Collison3031-0.08-0.420.340.13-7-10314.214.8-0.6016.614.42.25
Thabo Sefolosha3031-0.08-0.420.340.13-7-10314.214.8-0.6016.614.42.25
Kendrick Perkins4548-0.13-0.370.240.25-13-4-914.115.1-0.9516.214.02.15
Russell Westbrook7273-0.25-0.25-0.010.13-13-4-914.714.30.3815.115.00.15
Reggie Jackson5858-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.01-9-8-115.413.42.0214.316.2-1.99
Steven Adams3636-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.23-3-141114.814.50.3114.615.4-0.82
Kevin Durant8283-0.40-0.10-0.290.10-170-1714.714.10.5515.314.11.19
Derek Fisher5253-0.47-0.03-0.440.06-181-1914.814.40.4614.316.0-1.68
Caron Butler5352-0.510.01-0.53-0.19-11-6-515.213.91.2813.916.3-2.41

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Green55550.63-0.130.76-0.2530-134314.515.7-1.2015.912.83.12
Patty Mills29280.320.180.150.03107314.215.4-1.1814.514.7-0.16
Marco Belinelli32320.300.200.100.24215-1313.815.7-1.8215.814.01.84
Aron Baynes14140.280.220.050.13512-715.914.90.9214.714.60.12
Boris Diaw42410.210.29-0.090.27-219-2114.315.7-1.3813.415.5-2.14
Manu Ginobili56550.190.31-0.12-0.16125715.414.70.7113.815.7-1.82
Kawhi Leonard79780.190.31-0.12-0.16125715.314.11.2014.714.40.21
Tony Parker71700.190.31-0.12-0.16125715.314.60.6615.113.31.85
Tim Duncan59560.140.36-0.22-0.0989-115.814.01.7414.514.8-0.32
Tiago Splitter38390.050.45-0.41-0.1989-115.314.90.3615.014.30.69
Matt Bonner540.000.50-0.500.12-421-2516.215.01.199.214.8-5.60
Jeff Ayres540.000.50-0.500.12-421-2516.215.01.199.214.8-5.60
Cory Joseph540.000.50-0.500.12-421-2516.215.01.199.214.8-5.60


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 97, CHI 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,1,0.99,1,194.8%
PHX 78, MIA 900.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,1,1,194.1%
MIN 96, LAL 1040.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.82,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,194.1%