NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Excitement	5.3 [741]		MVP	Jordan Farmar (LAL): +14.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	104		Comeback	1.2 [1232]		LVP	Corey Brewer (MIN): -16.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	13	68%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	12	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	15	47%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	0.06	15	59%	0.05	5	-0.14	4	75%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.17	-0.03	-0.04	9	27%	-0.06	5	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.02	8	60%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	13	59%	0.10	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	7	62%	0.04	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	5	79%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.01	0.04	15	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	11	61%	0.12	5	-0.16	14	93%	0.04
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	9	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.0	30.1	15.6	24.3	2.4	33.5	130.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +9.0%

LAL +18.4%

LAL +6.3%

LAL +15.0%

LAL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.4	15.3	96.0	104.0	106.0
season	14.7	15.7		100.1	107.9
opponent	15.1	14.8		103.0	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.3	13.7	14.3	14.3	14.4
LAL	14.7	14.0	12.8	16.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Gomes	58	59	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-13	18	14.6	14.0	0.57	15.0	13.6	1.46
Ryan Hollins	2	3	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-4	0	18.5	14.3	4.20	10.3	14.5	-4.21
Darko Milicic	60	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-5	2	15.2	13.1	2.13	13.8	15.4	-1.54
Jonny Flynn	67	68	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-9	10	14.1	15.0	-0.97	13.6	16.2	-2.65
Damien Wilkins	27	25	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-2	-4	13.7	14.6	-0.93	13.4	14.8	-1.41
Corey Brewer	69	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-1	-6	14.0	15.3	-1.32	14.1	15.2	-1.16
Kevin Love	75	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.37	1	-9	10	13.9	15.8	-1.89	14.5	14.2	0.26
Wayne Ellington	46	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	0	-8	15.1	13.8	1.31	14.8	14.1	0.63
Ramon Sessions	33	32	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	1	-10	15.0	14.1	0.97	16.2	13.6	2.65
Al Jefferson	63	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	2	-12	14.0	15.0	-1.03	15.1	13.3	1.87

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Farmar	56	58	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-3	14	14.8	13.9	0.95	14.2	14.7	-0.54
Pau Gasol	76	75	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	-2	12	14.2	15.0	-0.76	14.0	15.4	-1.36
Kobe Bryant	74	73	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	-1	10	13.5	17.2	-3.69	13.9	15.6	-1.61
Shannon Brown	47	48	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	3	2	14.8	14.1	0.65	14.2	14.5	-0.33
Andrew Bynum	42	42	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	-4	16	13.6	15.0	-1.38	14.7	14.2	0.49
Lamar Odom	54	56	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.26	0	8	-8	14.3	14.6	-0.31	14.4	14.3	0.15
Sasha Vujacic	16	16	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	6	-4	16.1	14.1	2.03	14.4	14.4	0.07
DJ Mbenga	11	11	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	7	-6	16.4	14.2	2.18	17.0	14.1	2.94
Metta World Peace	70	69	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.22	-7	15	-22	14.6	14.0	0.55	14.7	13.6	1.11
Josh Powell	20	19	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	12	-16	16.0	14.0	1.97	13.2	14.7	-1.44
Derek Fisher	34	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.08	1	7	-6	14.3	14.5	-0.24	15.3	13.9	1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.82,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 93, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.62,0.71,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.97,0.93,1,0.98,0.98,1	94.4%
ATL 104, DEN 115	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.95,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
LAL 79, SAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%