NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	79		Excitement	4.6 [917]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +12.8%
San Antonio Spurs	91		Comeback	1.2 [1229]		LVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): -12.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Clark	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	12	62%	0.11	4	-0.11	8	50%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Darius Morris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	9	28%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	13	46%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	15	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	16	44%	-0.02	6	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.04	-0.04	13	62%	0.18	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.04	6	59%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Nando De Colo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	8	47%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	15	47%	0.06	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	21	39%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.8	31.2	18.5	30.4	2.6	35.2	145.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +9.4%

SAS +10.0%

SAS +7.3%

SAS +22.7%

SAS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	14.8	15.7	15.4	84.0	95.8	104.1
season	14.9	15.2		106.0	106.4
opponent	15.1	15.3		99.5	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.0	15.3	14.9	12.9	14.8
SAS	14.0	16.7	15.1	17.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	57	57	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-14	16	14.6	15.0	-0.43	16.6	14.4	2.14
Metta World Peace	62	64	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.16	4	-16	20	14.8	14.7	0.02	16.3	14.5	1.81
Darius Morris	15	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-10	8	14.1	14.9	-0.83	15.7	15.7	-0.02
Dwight Howard	81	82	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-8	4	14.6	15.8	-1.16	16.2	12.7	3.49
Pau Gasol	83	85	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.20	-4	-8	4	14.6	16.1	-1.50	15.9	14.0	1.91
Jodie Meeks	38	38	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.11	-10	-2	-8	15.9	14.0	1.85	15.0	16.2	-1.22
Earl Clark	24	23	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	4	-20	15.9	14.4	1.55	13.3	16.5	-3.23
Antawn Jamison	32	31	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.01	-16	4	-20	14.7	14.8	-0.02	14.5	16.3	-1.81
Steve Blake	78	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	2	-16	14.5	16.1	-1.64	15.4	17.0	-1.56

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	55	56	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.04	18	-6	24	16.0	15.3	0.61	14.9	14.6	0.31
Manu Ginobili	36	37	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.05	19	-7	26	15.3	16.0	-0.69	15.2	14.5	0.70
Tony Parker	72	70	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	0	12	16.2	14.3	1.85	15.0	14.1	0.86
Tim Duncan	68	66	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	1	10	16.3	14.1	2.23	15.0	14.1	0.89
Kawhi Leonard	70	69	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.07	7	5	2	16.3	14.1	2.21	15.3	13.3	2.02
DeJuan Blair	8	8	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	8	-4	6.4	16.6	-10.19	11.6	15.1	-3.43
Cory Joseph	23	24	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.13	0	12	-12	14.3	16.2	-1.85	14.1	15.0	-0.86
Gary Neal	31	29	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.17	-2	14	-16	15.7	15.7	-0.04	14.0	15.1	-1.16
Danny Green	50	50	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	11	-10	15.9	15.5	0.37	14.6	15.0	-0.44
Nando De Colo	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	13	-14	4.7	16.1	-11.40	8.3	15.0	-6.64
Aron Baynes	3	3	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	15	-18	4.7	16.1	-11.40	6.0	15.1	-9.05
Tiago Splitter	56	55	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.15	-6	18	-24	16.6	14.4	2.20	15.3	14.1	1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 89, GSW 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
SEA 92, POR 113	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.77,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.92,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
ATL 84, HOU 113	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.68,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%