NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	97		Excitement	4.7 [855]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): +11.8%
Chicago Bulls	105		Comeback	1.2 [960]		LVP	Mark Jackson (IND): -11.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.19	-0.02	0.06	19	79%	0.16	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Chris Mullin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	9	72%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Fred Hoiberg	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Rik Smits	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Travis Best	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Mark Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	0.03	10	41%	-0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.05	0.02	14	66%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.03	-0.03	20	60%	0.15	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.02	-0.05	23	55%	0.14	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	3	111%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	13	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	24.5	15.6	24.7	2.0	29.2	121.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +32.1%

CHI +10.3%

CHI +8.0%

CHI +0.8%

IND -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	16.4	17.1	15.6	111.5	123.5	102.5
season	16.0	16.2		105.3	105.8
opponent	15.8	16.1		97.9	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	18.6	18.9	13.8	16.4
CHI	14.3	15.7	18.1	20.5	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	2	2	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-6	4	22.5	16.3	6.22	25.5	16.9	8.63
Dale Davis	61	60	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-11	14	15.4	18.9	-3.56	16.5	18.5	-2.05
Rik Smits	42	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-5	2	17.1	15.8	1.25	15.4	18.6	-3.16
Reggie Miller	72	71	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.39	9	-17	26	15.3	21.9	-6.66	17.1	16.8	0.34
Chris Mullin	53	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-6	4	17.4	14.9	2.44	16.1	18.3	-2.19
Mark Jackson	60	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-5	2	16.4	16.4	0.08	16.9	17.5	-0.59
Travis Best	27	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-3	-2	16.4	16.4	-0.08	17.5	16.9	0.59
Jalen Rose	20	20	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	7	-22	19.3	15.6	3.73	18.1	16.8	1.35
Derrick McKey	44	45	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.21	-9	1	-10	16.2	16.6	-0.40	18.0	16.0	2.07
Antonio Davis	54	53	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.28	-13	5	-18	16.6	16.2	0.44	18.3	15.1	3.17

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Rodman	58	58	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.31	9	-1	10	17.9	15.2	2.71	16.7	15.9	0.84
Jason Caffey	27	27	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	3	2	16.5	17.3	-0.86	16.0	16.6	-0.67
Toni Kukoc	57	59	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	3	2	16.1	19.0	-2.88	16.7	15.9	0.73
Randy Brown	29	29	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.10	7	1	6	17.5	16.8	0.68	16.4	16.4	-0.07
Michael Jordan	72	73	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.32	-1	9	-10	16.6	19.8	-3.19	15.8	19.5	-3.66
Ron Harper	51	53	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	-2	12	17.3	16.8	0.46	18.2	13.7	4.42
Scottie Pippen	74	77	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	6	-4	17.5	14.0	3.53	16.2	18.4	-2.23
Luc Longley	56	57	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	9	-10	17.4	16.5	0.84	16.2	16.8	-0.62
Scott Burrell	0	1	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	6	-4	0.0	17.1	-17.07	0.0	16.6	-16.62
Jud Buechler	1	1	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	6	-4	0.0	17.3	-17.27	0.0	16.6	-16.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 105, SAS 122	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
LAL 98, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	94.8%
PHX 78, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,1,1,1	94.6%