NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	113		Excitement	5.6 [712]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): +65.2%
Toronto Raptors	115		Comeback	1.6 [768]		LVP	Shaun Livingston (BKN): -6.2%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.29,0.29	0.16	0.19	0.06	10	77%	0.29	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.13	0.20	0.07	0.14	24	65%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Andray Blatche	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.01	2	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Alan Anderson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	7	81%	0.17	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Thornton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	3	71%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	5	71%	0.05	5	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	7	55%	0.02	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	11	37%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.51,0.65	0.65	0.26	0.38	-0.01	19	75%	0.71	1	-0.06	10	80%	0.04
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.08	0.02	12	62%	0.16	2	-0.02	13	92%	0.08
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.08	0.02	12	62%	0.12	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.00	0.05	10	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	5	73%	0.07	4	-0.05	5	60%	-0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	3	25%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	44%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	2.8	35.7	15.8	29.5	3.0	47.3	163.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +16.8%

TOR +14.0%

TOR +0.9%

TOR +13.7%

TOR +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	TOR	NBA	BKN	TOR	NBA
this game	14.4	16.4	15.1	121.5	122.3	105.2
season	15.7	15.9		105.1	107.2
opponent	15.1	15.5		104.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.8	14.0	15.9	12.2	14.4
TOR	13.0	18.8	17.6	16.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mirza Teletovic	44	43	0.25	-0.75	1.01	-0.65	31	-33	64	13.7	15.1	-1.46	18.7	14.4	4.35
Joe Johnson	72	72	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.51	22	-24	46	14.4	14.4	0.06	17.6	12.3	5.34
Mason Plumlee	37	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	0	-2	15.1	14.0	1.17	17.7	15.4	2.31
Andray Blatche	32	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.55	15	-17	32	13.4	15.0	-1.56	15.2	17.0	-1.77
Marcus Thornton	28	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	5	-12	16.2	13.6	2.60	18.8	15.3	3.47
Andrei Kirilenko	7	10	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	5	-12	17.6	14.2	3.40	9.2	17.2	-8.01
Shaun Livingston	51	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	4	-10	14.7	14.1	0.61	16.7	16.0	0.68
Kevin Garnett	24	23	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	13	-28	14.7	14.3	0.37	15.7	16.6	-0.82
Alan Anderson	46	45	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.46	-2	0	-2	13.2	15.6	-2.40	15.1	17.5	-2.40
Deron Williams	75	75	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	6	-14	14.0	16.2	-2.22	15.3	20.4	-5.02
Paul Pierce	49	49	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	0.27	-31	29	-60	15.1	13.7	1.46	14.9	18.0	-3.10

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greivis Vasquez	48	47	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.46	7	-5	12	17.3	15.4	1.86	15.1	13.8	1.32
Patrick Patterson	54	55	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.58	1	1	0	17.0	15.5	1.50	14.1	14.9	-0.74
Kyle Lowry	77	76	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-13	28	15.6	19.7	-4.08	14.1	16.1	-2.07
Terrence Ross	57	57	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.15	13	-11	24	15.1	18.3	-3.15	13.8	15.4	-1.56
DeMar DeRozan	78	77	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.56	-13	15	-28	16.7	14.7	1.94	14.3	15.0	-0.69
Charles Hayes	22	20	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	-4	10	17.0	16.2	0.89	13.9	14.6	-0.61
Jonas Valanciunas	49	46	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.16	10	-8	18	16.1	16.7	-0.63	15.2	13.7	1.47
Amir Johnson	63	64	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.43	-14	16	-30	15.8	17.5	-1.77	14.5	14.4	0.07
John Salmons	22	23	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.33	-15	17	-32	19.1	15.5	3.56	15.8	14.0	1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.81,0.72,0.77,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 103, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.72,1	93.6%
CHI 97, MEM 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.93,0.85,0.94,0.98,1	93.2%
TOR 82, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.99,1	92.6%