NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Excitement	5.0 [836]		MVP	Monta Ellis (IND): +13.5%
Indiana Pacers	107		Comeback	1.7 [943]		LVP	Andre Miller (MIN): -23.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.13,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.01	19	59%	0.15	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Nemanja Bjelica	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	8	62%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	9	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.01	0.05	22	59%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	53%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.24	0.02	-0.22	0.04	5	83%	-0.01	3	-0.23	2	100%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.01	17	67%	0.30	2	-0.16	2	50%	-0.00
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.02	0.05	17	66%	0.14	1	-0.01	10	90%	0.02
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.01	8	58%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	67%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	7	43%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	5	45%	0.03	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	11	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.05
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	10	36%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.4	25.3	16.5	29.4	2.3	34.5	130.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +26.5%

MIN -3.3%

IND +8.2%

IND +18.1%

IND +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	IND	NBA	MIN	IND	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	14.9	107.3	111.5	105.1
season	14.8	14.6		104.8	103.2
opponent	14.9	15.0		101.6	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.0	15.7	13.0	14.4	14.7
IND	14.6	15.0	15.8	15.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damjan Rudez	11	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-10	16	15.9	14.6	1.33	19.2	14.7	4.55
Gorgui Dieng	21	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.02	-2	-2	0	17.1	14.1	3.09	16.5	14.9	1.54
Andre Miller	46	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.47	12	-16	28	14.0	15.4	-1.40	15.8	14.8	0.94
Kevin Martin	26	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	1	-6	14.5	14.8	-0.26	15.4	15.2	0.14
Shabazz Muhammad	38	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-7	10	14.1	15.2	-1.12	15.7	15.0	0.72
Nemanja Bjelica	51	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-2	0	14.1	15.4	-1.26	14.5	16.1	-1.57
Tayshaun Prince	39	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	8	-20	15.1	14.5	0.59	13.9	16.2	-2.36
Kevin Garnett	30	31	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.05	-14	10	-24	16.1	14.1	1.99	14.2	15.8	-1.59
Karl-Anthony Towns	55	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	3	-10	14.5	15.0	-0.47	15.5	15.0	0.47
Zach LaVine	80	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.40	0	-4	4	14.7	14.7	-0.02	15.2	15.4	-0.12
Andrew Wiggins	83	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.44	1	-5	6	14.6	15.7	-1.11	15.3	15.2	0.14

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavoy Allen	56	56	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.18	21	-17	38	14.4	16.5	-2.11	15.4	13.8	1.51
Monta Ellis	76	76	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.25	7	-3	10	14.4	18.5	-4.08	14.2	16.6	-2.36
Paul George	79	79	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.32	4	0	4	14.6	18.3	-3.67	14.5	15.9	-1.40
Glenn Robinson	40	39	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.20	6	-2	8	16.6	14.3	2.28	15.8	14.0	1.79
Ian Mahinmi	64	64	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.08	2	2	0	14.9	16.1	-1.19	14.5	15.3	-0.83
George Hill	67	68	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.28	-5	9	-14	15.1	15.8	-0.70	14.5	15.2	-0.63
Jordan Hill	28	28	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	5	-6	18.1	14.1	3.95	16.3	14.1	2.20
Chase Budinger	26	26	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	4	-4	18.2	14.2	4.06	15.8	14.3	1.48
CJ Miles	44	44	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.37	-14	18	-32	15.2	15.3	-0.16	13.3	15.9	-2.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 82, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.99,1	93.9%
BKN 113, TOR 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.81,0.72,0.77,0.84,1	93.6%
NOK 91, DEN 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.95,1,1,1,1	93.5%