NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	90		Excitement	9.0 [125]		MVP	Jason Terry (BOS): +45.5%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	2.5 [401]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -70.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.08	0.13	-0.01	21	59%	0.25	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	13	46%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	6	21%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Carmelo Anthony	-0.71	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.37,-0.49,-0.76,-0.76,-0.82,-0.74,-0.65,-0.71	-0.22	-0.49	0.01	35	40%	-0.53	7	-0.18	20	80%	-0.12

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.31,0.45	0.45	0.14	0.34	0.02	10	78%	0.45	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.14	-0.00	7	76%	0.31	2	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Brandon Bass	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.10	-0.03	20	60%	0.07	6	-0.12	8	87%	0.03
Avery Bradley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	7	21%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	0.03	-0.21	0.01	22	50%	-0.17	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	3.4	40.5	17.8	34.2	3.7	38.8	1.8	13.0	179.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +73.6%

BOS +20.1%

NYK -48.9%

NYK -6.8%

BOS +12.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	16.9	14.4	15.4	89.1	95.1	104.1
season	16.2	14.9		107.9	101.2
opponent	16.2	15.5		101.7	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	16.2	15.1	17.1	19.6	17.7	16.9
BOS	13.2	12.6	14.2	18.3	15.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	61	62	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.05	2	-9	11	16.6	17.3	-0.69	14.5	14.4	0.09
Pablo Prigioni	55	56	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-8	9	16.7	17.2	-0.48	14.1	14.8	-0.64
Kenyon Martin	42	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-6	5	16.2	17.4	-1.23	14.4	14.5	-0.06
Quentin Richardson	6	6	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-1	-5	13.8	17.1	-3.27	15.3	14.4	0.96
Steve Novak	16	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	1	-9	15.3	17.2	-1.90	12.5	14.8	-2.30
Iman Shumpert	82	84	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.35	4	-11	15	17.1	16.2	0.93	14.9	12.2	2.68
Raymond Felton	89	91	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-3	-1	17.3	14.1	3.21	14.4	14.4	0.08
Tyson Chandler	59	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-1	-5	17.4	16.2	1.23	14.5	14.4	0.06
Carmelo Anthony	86	85	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	3	-13	17.1	15.7	1.38	14.3	15.2	-0.96

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	70	69	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.17	16	-9	25	15.2	12.8	2.40	17.0	16.6	0.42
Brandon Bass	59	59	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	1	5	13.9	15.1	-1.14	17.0	16.8	0.21
Paul Pierce	96	94	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	8	-9	14.4	15.3	-0.96	17.1	14.7	2.36
Jeff Green	91	91	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	6	-5	14.6	12.8	1.81	17.3	13.4	3.90
Jason Terry	76	77	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.36	-2	9	-11	14.4	14.5	-0.04	17.2	16.1	1.03
Jordan Crawford	16	14	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	-1	9	14.2	14.5	-0.22	14.8	17.3	-2.47
Terrence Williams	23	23	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.09	5	2	3	14.6	14.4	0.23	13.9	17.8	-3.88
Avery Bradley	68	67	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.05	1	6	-5	13.8	15.7	-1.91	17.3	16.2	1.11
Chris Wilcox	2	2	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.02	-6	13	-19	12.0	14.5	-2.48	8.5	17.1	-8.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 103, LAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.67,0.84,1	90.1%
SEA 108, NJN 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.36,0.68,0.83,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.43,0.92,1	89.8%
SAS 101, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.85,0.91,1	89.6%