NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	108		Excitement	10.0 [63]		MVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): +26.6%
New Jersey Nets	109		Comeback	1.8 [738]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -50.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.14,0.24	0.04	0.19	-0.01	12	60%	0.32	1	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Calvin Booth	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	78%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0,0.07,0.31,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,-0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.02	25	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.07
Jerome James	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.11	-0.15	0.02	14	71%	-0.02	1	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Gary Payton	-0.50	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.39,-0.39,-0.4,-0.4,-0.5,-0.5	-0.15	-0.36	-0.01	19	30%	-0.45	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.14	0.02	18	76%	0.35	3	-0.08	10	80%	0.04
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.01	11	71%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0.05,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.03,-0.06,0.17,0.09	0.09	-0.06	0.12	-0.03	14	59%	0.26	6	-0.17	6	67%	-0.05
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	62%	0.04	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.04	-0.23	-0.01	7	50%	-0.05	2	-0.21	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.10	-0.22	-0.01	10	42%	-0.04	3	-0.28	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.3	1.7	29.6	14.8	26.2	1.0	30.2	1.5	16.0	143.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +65.5%

SEA -6.0%

NJN +19.5%

SEA -63.6%

NJN +34.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NJN	NBA	SEA	NJN	NBA
this game	18.1	15.9	15.5	114.9	117.2	101.6
season	16.5	15.0		101.7	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.6		96.1	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SEA	16.7	15.9	18.3	22.3	17.9	18.1
NJN	14.6	15.4	14.4	18.8	19.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calvin Booth	47	47	0.29	-0.79	1.09	0.03	9	-10	19	18.9	17.2	1.64	18.5	13.3	5.14
Reggie Evans	32	32	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.23	-6	5	-11	18.2	18.0	0.16	15.1	16.4	-1.30
Jerome James	14	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.11	-9	8	-17	17.9	18.1	-0.15	13.1	16.4	-3.34
Predrag Drobnjak	33	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.14	-1	0	-1	16.9	18.7	-1.72	13.5	17.3	-3.86
Kenny Anderson	56	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.64	12	-13	25	18.4	17.5	0.88	17.5	13.8	3.71
Desmond Mason	87	86	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.54	5	-6	11	18.4	13.9	4.53	16.0	15.1	0.87
Gary Payton	79	79	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.37	-6	5	-11	18.4	16.4	1.97	15.9	16.4	-0.57
Rashard Lewis	86	84	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.54	-2	1	-3	17.7	22.2	-4.59	15.7	18.1	-2.40
Brent Barry	36	37	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.49	-7	6	-13	16.8	18.8	-1.98	15.0	16.6	-1.62

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	66	67	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.50	8	-7	15	14.9	18.6	-3.73	18.5	16.9	1.69
Jason Kidd	76	78	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.51	4	-3	7	15.4	18.2	-2.80	18.4	16.2	2.25
Kenyon Martin	75	77	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.35	8	-7	15	15.6	17.2	-1.58	18.1	17.7	0.42
Lucious Harris	31	33	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.49	-4	5	-9	18.3	14.8	3.52	16.0	19.1	-3.12
Richard Jefferson	82	81	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.47	-6	7	-13	15.9	16.2	-0.27	18.6	14.6	3.99
Jason Collins	56	57	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.08	12	-11	23	15.5	16.6	-1.08	18.9	16.7	2.27
Brian Scalabrine	26	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	2	-3	16.7	15.6	1.09	16.7	18.5	-1.82
Anthony Johnson	17	16	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	4	-7	18.2	15.4	2.80	16.2	18.4	-2.25
Aaron Williams	36	36	-0.28	0.79	-1.07	0.10	-13	14	-27	16.7	15.5	1.27	17.1	18.6	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.36,0.68,0.83,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.43,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 101, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.85,0.91,1	91.2%
NYK 90, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.74,1	89.8%
NOH 104, DET 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.78,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.55,0.76,0.72,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.67,0.91,1	89.7%