NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	104		Excitement	9.5 [74]		MVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): +16.2%
Detroit Pistons	110		Comeback	2.0 [454]		LVP	David West (NOH): -11.6%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.21,0.12,0.13	0.03	0.10	-0.00	10	54%	0.16	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.03
Chris Paul	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	14	63%	0.24	3	-0.17	10	80%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	-0.02	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12	0.03	-0.13	0.02	18	61%	0.15	5	-0.27	5	100%	0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29,0.03,0.16,0.16	0.16	-0.05	0.20	-0.02	15	36%	0.18	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.05
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.00	5	90%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.02	0.00	6	86%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	6	72%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.11
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	13	46%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.05
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.07,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	22	55%	0.14	7	-0.21	14	86%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.6	2.4	30.8	18.0	28.8	2.5	38.5	2.5	18.2	168.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH -21.6%

DET +28.5%

DET +24.8%

DET +12.3%

DET +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	DET	NBA	NOH	DET	NBA
this game	14.8	16.4	15.3	103.0	106.8	106.0
season	15.5	16.8		106.0	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.2		109.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOH	15.5	13.3	15.5	15.0	14.2	14.8
DET	13.3	18.0	16.5	19.2	14.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	64	68	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.17	-4	-2	-2	15.2	14.0	1.20	15.8	17.5	-1.65
Darius Songaila	35	36	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.22	9	-15	24	13.2	15.6	-2.39	17.9	15.6	2.25
Julian Wright	15	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.05	1	-7	8	14.1	14.9	-0.82	17.9	16.1	1.80
Darren Collison	13	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-2	-2	14.5	14.8	-0.35	18.6	16.0	2.60
Marcus Thornton	57	57	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.46	7	-13	20	13.9	15.8	-1.91	16.8	15.9	0.88
James Posey	55	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-9	12	13.9	15.8	-1.91	17.5	15.1	2.41
Chris Paul	90	91	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-5	4	14.8	14.8	-0.06	16.4	16.2	0.26
Devin Brown	42	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.12	-16	10	-26	16.0	13.9	2.12	14.8	17.5	-2.76
David West	76	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	3	-12	15.4	12.7	2.71	15.8	18.1	-2.25
Emeka Okafor	58	59	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.29	-16	10	-26	15.3	14.0	1.37	15.7	17.4	-1.73

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	91	89	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.25	22	-16	38	15.8	21.2	-5.49	15.1	11.9	3.23
Ben Wallace	79	77	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.27	20	-14	34	16.2	16.9	-0.68	15.7	11.8	3.84
Rodney Stuckey	71	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	6	-6	16.5	16.2	0.26	15.5	13.2	2.31
Chris Wilcox	24	24	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	2	2	15.4	16.7	-1.33	17.3	14.0	3.37
Chucky Atkins	38	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	9	-12	17.2	16.0	1.20	13.4	15.6	-2.24
Jonas Jerebko	72	72	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.10	3	3	0	16.0	17.4	-1.41	15.0	14.1	0.88
Charlie Villanueva	66	64	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	9	-12	17.2	15.0	2.18	14.0	16.1	-2.04
Austin Daye	28	27	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.08	-11	17	-28	19.0	15.4	3.52	12.9	15.5	-2.61
Jason Maxiell	24	24	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.05	-14	20	-34	16.9	16.2	0.68	11.8	15.7	-3.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.78,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.55,0.76,0.72,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.67,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 121, IND 130	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.72,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.68,0.96,1	91.1%
NJN 96, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.8,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.72,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.73,0.54,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.85,1	90.4%
GSW 93, CHH 100	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.91,0.82,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.62,0.54,0.66,0.91,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.98,1	89.7%