NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	96		Excitement	10.1 [43]		MVP	Raef LaFrentz (DEN): +17.7%
Denver Nuggets	99		Comeback	2.1 [417]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -47.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	17	74%	0.40	5	-0.28	4	100%	0.03
Lucious Harris	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	12	48%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.04
Jason Collins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	8	69%	0.11	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Richard Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	11	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Derrick Dial	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	14	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.47	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.47	-0.23	-0.26	-0.02	14	18%	-0.28	5	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.08	0.02	16	66%	0.18	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.29,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.04,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	30	46%	0.07	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	11	46%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.08	-0.00	9	61%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	8	30%	-0.00	3	-0.14	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.0	1.7	23.5	15.3	23.6	2.5	31.6	1.5	15.5	136.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +13.7%

NJN -8.4%

DEN +3.4%

DEN +29.5%

DEN +11.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DEN	NBA	NJN	DEN	NBA
this game	15.3	17.7	15.6	100.0	102.1	102.3
season	14.7	16.1		101.4	99.7
opponent	15.2	16.0		105.9	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	14.4	17.3	15.8	14.4	13.3	15.3
DEN	13.9	14.7	20.1	23.5	18.0	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	19	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-1	-1	14.6	15.4	-0.86	15.2	18.2	-3.01
Derrick Dial	13	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	1	-5	17.8	14.9	2.89	14.0	18.2	-4.19
Jason Collins	34	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.31	7	-10	17	15.2	15.3	-0.06	21.9	15.3	6.55
Lucious Harris	51	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.36	7	-10	17	15.2	15.4	-0.20	18.8	16.4	2.45
Kerry Kittles	56	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	2	-7	15.1	15.4	-0.31	16.1	19.9	-3.75
Todd MacCulloch	42	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	5	-13	15.8	14.8	1.00	15.7	19.2	-3.54
Richard Jefferson	60	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-3	3	15.4	15.1	0.26	18.8	15.8	2.96
Kenyon Martin	68	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.38	1	-4	5	14.4	17.4	-2.95	18.0	16.8	1.24
Keith Van Horn	54	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	9	-21	16.3	14.0	2.34	16.2	19.6	-3.39
Jason Kidd	83	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.44	1	-4	5	14.9	17.8	-2.89	18.2	14.0	4.19

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	71	70	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.32	6	-3	9	18.1	16.4	1.76	15.1	15.8	-0.74
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	72	70	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	-1	5	18.0	16.7	1.28	14.9	16.3	-1.47
Raef LaFrentz	75	73	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.36	2	1	1	17.8	17.3	0.46	14.4	18.0	-3.65
Nick Van Exel	86	85	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.41	-1	4	-5	18.3	13.1	5.16	15.0	17.5	-2.47
Scott Williams	27	27	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	3	-3	17.9	17.6	0.25	17.1	14.5	2.61
George McCloud	49	50	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	-1	5	18.9	16.4	2.48	16.2	14.3	1.94
Isaiah Rider	15	15	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.00	6	-3	9	14.2	18.3	-4.10	17.7	14.8	2.92
Ryan Bowen	54	54	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	3	-3	15.9	19.8	-3.89	15.1	15.4	-0.28
Avery Johnson	36	36	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.11	-6	9	-15	16.7	18.2	-1.55	15.3	15.2	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.8,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.72,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.73,0.54,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 102, DET 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.39,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.75,0.84,0.97,1,1	92.0%
NOH 104, DET 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.78,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.55,0.76,0.72,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.67,0.91,1	90.4%
CHI 83, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.33,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.95,0.97,1	90.4%