NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	102		Excitement	9.0 [136]		MVP	Jay Williams (CHI): +9.6%
Detroit Pistons	111		Comeback	2.2 [620]		LVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): -57.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jay Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	5	91%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Eddie Robinson	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	11	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	17	65%	0.13	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Corie Blount	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	12	69%	0.14	4	-0.18	5	80%	-0.02
Lonny Baxter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.03	-0.03	9	15%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Jalen Rose	-0.57	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.24,-0.52,-0.52,-0.57,-0.57,-0.57,-0.57	-0.13	-0.41	0.03	23	45%	-0.23	5	-0.34	7	71%	-0.08

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	18	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.13
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	10	75%	0.16	4	-0.09	12	83%	0.04
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	77%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	0.01	13	59%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.04
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	4	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	11	55%	-0.02	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.02
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	7	14%	-0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	30.0	0.6	26.5	15.6	25.4	2.7	37.1	1.6	23.0	162.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -36.4%

DET +41.6%

CHI -0.6%

DET +48.8%

CHI -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	14.4	16.6	15.5	100.0	107.8	101.6
season	15.0	16.8		98.3	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.1		97.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	15.7	13.5	15.6	14.0	12.0	14.4
DET	15.0	17.2	17.1	19.4	13.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jay Williams	28	29	0.45	-0.95	1.39	-0.02	16	-25	41	13.7	14.6	-0.92	18.2	16.0	2.15
Donyell Marshall	45	46	0.30	-0.80	1.09	0.12	6	-15	21	14.9	14.0	0.87	19.2	14.5	4.67
Roger Mason Jr.	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.06	-2	-7	5	6.0	14.5	-8.55	10.5	16.8	-6.25
Trenton Hassell	42	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-9	9	13.8	14.8	-1.05	15.5	17.4	-1.83
Lonny Baxter	29	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-1	-7	15.8	13.8	1.92	17.0	16.5	0.44
Eddy Curry	56	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-9	9	14.2	14.6	-0.45	17.4	15.7	1.67
Eddie Robinson	66	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-1	-7	14.7	13.8	0.89	17.2	15.6	1.56
Jalen Rose	90	91	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	0	-9	14.3	14.7	-0.42	16.5	18.0	-1.55
Jamal Crawford	75	76	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.29	-20	11	-31	14.4	14.2	0.22	15.6	19.5	-3.86
Corie Blount	77	77	-0.90	0.40	-1.29	-0.31	-20	11	-31	14.3	14.8	-0.50	15.3	20.5	-5.12

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	80	81	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.07	23	-14	37	16.4	17.5	-1.09	14.7	13.1	1.56
Michael Curry	63	61	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.33	14	-5	19	15.5	18.4	-2.89	14.7	14.0	0.68
Chauncey Billups	80	81	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.15	20	-11	31	16.4	17.5	-1.15	14.5	14.1	0.36
Richard Hamilton	83	83	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.16	18	-9	27	15.8	20.0	-4.24	14.5	14.0	0.47
Mehmet Okur	87	86	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-1	11	16.9	15.3	1.56	14.5	13.9	0.60
Jon Barry	22	21	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	16	-23	20.8	15.5	5.27	13.5	14.6	-1.08
Chucky Atkins	23	21	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.09	-11	20	-31	17.5	16.4	1.15	14.1	14.5	-0.36
Zeljko Rebraca	36	35	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.00	-10	19	-29	17.9	15.9	2.02	13.9	14.6	-0.67
Corliss Williamson	41	41	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	0.06	-12	21	-33	16.6	16.6	-0.04	13.8	14.8	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.39,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.75,0.84,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 83, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.33,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.95,0.97,1	93.0%
NJN 96, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.8,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.72,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.73,0.54,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.85,1	92.0%
PHX 96, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.75,0.68,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.55,0.27,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.77,0.92,1	91.7%