NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	101		Excitement	8.9 [150]		MVP	Mark Blount (MIN): +40.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Comeback	1.6 [473]		LVP	Ricky Davis (MIN): -24.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23	0.09	0.15	0.02	19	60%	0.32	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.22	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.12,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.11	0.01	17	58%	0.22	0	0.00	11	91%	0.04
Beno Udrih	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.06	0.00	6	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.03	0.05	-0.06	0.02	15	53%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Brent Barry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	4	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	6	14%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.01	-0.15	0.00	10	45%	-0.15	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Blount	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.22	0.19	0.01	14	87%	0.43	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.19	0.19	-0.04	0.22	-0.01	23	48%	0.31	4	-0.12	10	90%	0.05
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bracey Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	75%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.07	0.00	4	85%	0.10	3	-0.13	5	100%	0.02
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.11	-0.00	18	45%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25	-0.25	-0.06	-0.20	-0.01	12	31%	-0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	26.2	15.7	24.1	2.4	34.3	2.5	18.4	150.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +4.8%

MIN +32.8%

MIN +5.3%

SAS -10.8%

MIN +17.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MIN	NBA	SAS	MIN	NBA
this game	16.7	17.9	15.4	111.0	110.8	104.5
season	16.2	15.4		107.5	101.9
opponent	15.6	15.4		105.8	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	16.8	16.2	17.9	16.8	14.3	16.7
MIN	16.0	17.2	17.2	20.3	21.4	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	27	29	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-4	6	16.1	16.9	-0.83	17.1	18.2	-1.10
Eric Williams	4	4	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-4	6	16.2	16.7	-0.43	13.2	18.1	-4.85
Matt Bonner	40	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.19	3	-5	8	16.8	16.6	0.21	17.1	18.6	-1.49
Michael Finley	51	55	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.49	13	-15	28	15.6	18.0	-2.39	18.5	17.0	1.51
Fabricio Oberto	18	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	2	-6	17.2	16.5	0.63	18.1	17.9	0.21
Robert Horry	43	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-1	0	17.5	15.9	1.53	19.6	16.5	3.19
Manu Ginobili	64	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-6	10	16.4	17.2	-0.75	18.5	16.5	2.00
Brent Barry	24	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	8	-18	16.0	16.9	-0.90	15.4	18.9	-3.55
Tim Duncan	76	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.41	-2	0	-2	16.5	17.4	-0.89	17.7	19.0	-1.30
Bruce Bowen	40	38	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	13	-28	18.0	15.6	2.39	17.0	18.5	-1.51
Tony Parker	68	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.46	-2	0	-2	16.8	16.2	0.59	18.5	16.2	2.31

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	76	75	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.34	17	-15	32	17.8	18.5	-0.71	17.1	14.4	2.70
Mark Blount	72	71	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.29	11	-9	20	17.9	17.7	0.23	17.2	14.8	2.32
Randy Foye	72	70	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.34	8	-6	14	17.7	18.4	-0.69	16.8	16.2	0.55
Kevin Garnett	82	79	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.42	2	0	2	18.0	17.0	1.01	16.5	17.6	-1.06
Ricky Davis	82	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	0	2	17.6	20.4	-2.80	16.7	16.6	0.03
Justin Reed	10	9	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	-2	6	18.3	17.8	0.46	16.3	16.7	-0.36
Mark Madsen	6	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	3	-4	10.8	18.4	-7.55	16.8	16.6	0.19
Bracey Wright	1	0	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.05	-3	5	-8	0.0	18.1	-18.09	0.0	16.7	-16.66
Mike James	30	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.14	-7	9	-16	18.8	17.4	1.39	16.0	17.0	-1.02
Craig Smith	16	17	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.14	-12	14	-26	19.4	17.6	1.87	15.3	17.0	-1.68
Troy Hudson	18	19	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.07	-11	13	-24	20.0	17.4	2.61	15.4	17.0	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.85,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 115, NYK 117	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.84,0.84,1	91.3%
SEA 108, NJN 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.36,0.68,0.83,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.43,0.92,1	91.2%
MEM 97, SEA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.86,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.86,0.85,0.7,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.58,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.97,0.98,1	90.8%