NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	97		Excitement	7.8 [277]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +35.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	103		Comeback	1.6 [695]		LVP	Wesley Person (MEM): -11.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23	0.06	0.19	0.02	15	62%	0.25	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.08	0.10	-0.02	8	25%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	14	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	66%	0.05	3	-0.06	12	92%	0.08
Stromile Swift	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	11	46%	-0.04	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Wesley Person	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	7	41%	-0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.02,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.02	0.32	-0.02	20	52%	0.36	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.07
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.05	0.00	13	69%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.06	-0.01	8	62%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.02	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.02	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	26	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	25%	-0.17
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	7	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	8	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	57.5	2.0	26.2	14.7	28.0	1.8	35.2	1.7	18.8	185.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +54.3%

MEM -11.1%

SEA +12.0%

MEM -9.4%

SEA +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SEA	NBA	MEM	SEA	NBA
this game	16.4	16.9	15.5	102.1	107.3	101.6
season	15.3	16.5		101.8	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.2		102.0	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	18.1	17.7	14.2	16.3	14.4	16.4
SEA	14.6	16.6	18.5	18.0	17.0	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordan Giricek	43	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-6	6	16.1	16.6	-0.44	15.5	18.1	-2.60
Earl Watson	9	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-1	-4	18.1	16.2	1.94	21.7	16.4	5.22
Jason Williams	47	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-5	4	16.6	16.2	0.39	15.5	18.3	-2.76
Stromile Swift	13	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	2	-10	18.0	16.1	1.90	19.7	16.5	3.12
Shane Battier	65	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	0	-6	16.4	16.4	-0.01	16.7	17.3	-0.56
Pau Gasol	80	82	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.31	1	-7	8	16.2	17.3	-1.08	16.3	20.9	-4.59
Wesley Person	43	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-5	4	16.2	16.5	-0.23	17.4	16.6	0.79
Drew Gooden	48	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-2	-2	16.2	16.6	-0.39	18.3	15.5	2.76
Brevin Knight	48	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-1	-4	16.2	16.6	-0.39	18.3	15.5	2.76
Lorenzen Wright	79	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-5	4	16.4	16.2	0.13	16.5	19.1	-2.52

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	64	65	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.35	17	-11	28	16.4	17.9	-1.50	16.7	15.7	1.01
Vitaly Potapenko	57	58	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.20	11	-5	16	17.9	15.5	2.36	16.7	15.8	0.85
Rashard Lewis	78	77	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	-1	8	16.3	19.5	-3.15	16.4	16.3	0.03
Desmond Mason	70	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	5	-4	18.1	13.8	4.29	16.0	17.4	-1.41
Gary Payton	82	79	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.34	-3	9	-12	16.7	18.1	-1.41	16.1	17.5	-1.37
Kenny Anderson	45	45	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	2	2	18.1	15.9	2.13	16.1	16.6	-0.43
Jerome James	9	8	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	2	2	16.2	17.0	-0.79	14.2	16.6	-2.30
Predrag Drobnjak	37	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	10	-14	16.1	17.4	-1.31	16.1	16.5	-0.40
Ansu Sesay	38	39	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	13	-20	15.5	17.9	-2.42	17.4	15.6	1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.86,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.86,0.85,0.7,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.58,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 101, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.85,0.91,1	90.8%
BOS 110, WAS 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.8,0.77,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.37,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.94,1	88.3%
NYK 128, CHA 137	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.53,0.58,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.54,0.76,0.58,0.54,0.8,0.71,0.9,1,1	88.3%