NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	71		Excitement	4.2 [998]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +19.1%
New York Knicks	87		Comeback	3.0 [669]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -9.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	11	36%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	11	42%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	55%	-0.01	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	19	45%	0.04	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.02	-0.04	24	58%	0.22	1	-0.03	11	91%	0.04
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.04	-0.03	15	56%	0.13	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	15	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.03	-0.04	6	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	3.0	34.1	18.6	29.3	3.4	30.6	147.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +31.7%

NYK +5.0%

NYK +11.0%

NYK +3.7%

BOS -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.1	18.3	15.4	83.5	100.0	104.1
season	14.9	16.2		101.2	107.9
opponent	15.5	16.2		103.8	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.4	14.5	17.6	13.2	15.1
NYK	19.6	17.5	15.9	20.5	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Williams	5	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	10.6	15.4	-4.83	22.0	18.1	3.87
Shavlik Randolph	6	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	10.7	15.5	-4.81	21.0	18.1	2.85
Courtney Lee	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-16	16	12.3	15.4	-3.11	22.3	18.0	4.32
Jordan Crawford	49	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-16	16	13.2	17.8	-4.62	17.9	18.9	-1.06
Jason Terry	63	63	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-17	18	15.0	15.4	-0.36	17.6	20.2	-2.56
Chris Wilcox	12	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.09	-8	-8	0	10.4	15.9	-5.50	17.8	18.4	-0.59
Kevin Garnett	43	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-11	6	14.5	15.8	-1.27	18.3	18.3	-0.07
Avery Bradley	58	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-9	2	16.3	12.7	3.52	18.1	18.9	-0.82
Brandon Bass	59	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	-9	2	16.4	12.2	4.19	18.8	17.1	1.70
Jeff Green	57	61	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.03	-22	6	-28	16.1	13.1	2.98	18.9	16.8	2.09
Paul Pierce	66	67	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	0.04	-28	12	-40	16.0	12.1	3.98	17.8	20.1	-2.39

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	32	29	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.04	24	-8	32	18.3	18.3	-0.05	16.9	14.2	2.66
Carmelo Anthony	70	70	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.01	22	-6	28	18.5	17.6	0.82	15.7	12.7	2.92
Raymond Felton	64	62	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.06	22	-6	28	18.2	18.6	-0.35	16.5	11.6	4.90
Tyson Chandler	38	37	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.09	21	-5	26	18.8	17.9	0.90	17.0	13.7	3.29
Pablo Prigioni	30	29	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	9	-2	18.9	18.0	0.90	17.8	13.8	4.03
J.R. Smith	68	66	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.12	2	14	-12	17.8	20.1	-2.23	14.7	16.8	-2.19
Quentin Richardson	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	14	-12	21.0	18.1	2.85	10.7	15.5	-4.81
James White	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	14	-12	22.0	18.1	3.87	10.6	15.4	-4.83
Kenyon Martin	44	41	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	22	-28	17.5	19.2	-1.73	14.0	16.2	-2.30
Jason Kidd	43	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	18	-20	17.4	19.2	-1.81	13.8	16.5	-2.64
Chris Copeland	18	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	16	-16	19.3	18.0	1.29	11.7	16.1	-4.34
Steve Novak	19	19	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.12	-14	30	-44	19.5	18.0	1.49	11.6	16.2	-4.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.89,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 75, PHX 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.61,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.3%
CLE 96, CHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.71,0.78,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.96,0.95,0.87,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%
ORL 95, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%