NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	95		Excitement	4.9 [842]		MVP	Joe Smith (MIN): +17.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Comeback	2.5 [512]		LVP	Grant Hill (ORL): -22.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	7	79%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.01	0.02	11	68%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.03	20	56%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Jud Buechler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	1	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	40%	-0.01	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Horace Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	57%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Patrick Ewing	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	-0.01	-0.07	12	19%	-0.09	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Grant Hill	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.20	-0.03	-0.01	18	38%	-0.10	6	-0.13	6	67%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.03	0.02	12	81%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	53%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	6	54%	0.03	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	7	50%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	9	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	0.03	15	62%	0.06	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	1	0%	-0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	16	57%	0.03	5	-0.09	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.6	27.1	15.7	30.1	2.8	27.0	126.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +40.4%

MIN +6.5%

MIN +15.9%

ORL -13.2%

MIN +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIN	NBA	ORL	MIN	NBA
this game	13.9	16.1	15.6	100.0	106.2	102.3
season	14.6	15.0		104.6	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.8		103.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.0	14.0	14.5	12.3	13.9
MIN	17.0	17.9	13.2	16.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	42	43	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.22	10	-18	28	13.8	14.0	-0.28	16.7	15.6	1.14
Jud Buechler	8	9	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.17	8	-16	24	8.5	14.4	-5.91	13.8	16.3	-2.52
Troy Hudson	26	26	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.30	11	-19	30	10.8	15.1	-4.23	17.7	15.5	2.17
Don Reid	5	6	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.16	6	-14	20	7.2	14.3	-7.09	15.2	16.1	-0.95
Andrew DeClercq	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-14	20	6.2	14.3	-8.00	13.2	16.2	-3.02
Mike Miller	59	59	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-11	14	13.9	14.0	-0.09	17.0	14.6	2.39
Pat Garrity	46	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-4	0	15.3	12.6	2.78	18.4	14.1	4.25
Steven Hunter	28	30	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.12	-11	3	-14	12.7	14.4	-1.65	14.2	16.9	-2.70
Horace Grant	41	42	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	11	-30	15.5	12.7	2.77	15.6	16.4	-0.78
Darrell Armstrong	57	58	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	11	-30	14.2	13.5	0.74	15.1	17.5	-2.34
Tracy McGrady	74	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	8	-24	14.7	11.1	3.62	16.2	15.6	0.57
Grant Hill	85	87	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.11	-15	7	-22	14.2	11.7	2.48	15.3	22.7	-7.40

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	80	77	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.03	22	-14	36	15.3	19.8	-4.49	14.2	12.8	1.40
Joe Smith	65	64	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.00	22	-14	36	15.3	17.7	-2.43	14.7	12.2	2.56
Kevin Garnett	78	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-8	24	15.8	17.1	-1.30	14.6	10.4	4.26
Rasho Nesterovic	56	55	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-10	28	15.2	17.3	-2.09	14.8	12.6	2.19
Terrell Brandon	65	64	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.03	15	-7	22	15.4	17.4	-1.96	14.2	13.2	1.02
Chauncey Billups	32	31	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.23	-7	15	-22	17.4	15.4	1.96	13.2	14.2	-1.02
Anthony Peeler	44	42	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.22	-7	15	-22	18.0	14.5	3.55	13.4	14.3	-0.92
Loren Woods	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	14	-20	13.2	16.2	-3.02	6.2	14.3	-8.00
Sam Mitchell	9	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	13	-18	15.6	16.1	-0.56	11.1	14.2	-3.10
Dean Garrett	6	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	13	-18	17.5	16.0	1.53	9.3	14.2	-4.89
Gary Trent	24	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	15	-22	21.5	14.3	7.28	14.0	13.9	0.17
Felipe Lopez	21	21	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.30	-16	24	-40	15.0	16.4	-1.36	10.1	15.0	-4.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 92, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
ATL 94, NOH 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.58,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
UTA 76, PHX 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.67,0.71,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%