NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	92		Excitement	5.0 [821]		MVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): +11.4%
Denver Nuggets	107		Comeback	1.7 [807]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (LAC): -8.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.02	11	64%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	12	63%	0.11	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.04
Chauncey Billups	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.02	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	20	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Willie Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Caron Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	9	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.04	9	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	45%	0.01	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.04	0.07	15	70%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	10	64%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	-0.00	-0.01	15	61%	0.12	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	63%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	8	75%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.04	6	69%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	3.4	28.3	18.8	32.4	3.7	29.0	140.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +66.6%

LAC -7.7%

LAC -4.6%

LAC -6.0%

DEN +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	16.4	16.2	15.4	104.5	120.2	104.1
season	15.6	14.4		109.0	108.4
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.0	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.3	15.2	17.2	16.8	16.4
DEN	15.0	18.4	13.5	18.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	28	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.08	2	-17	19	16.2	16.4	-0.15	19.1	14.8	4.31
Lamar Odom	27	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-18	21	15.7	16.7	-0.99	19.3	14.9	4.40
Willie Green	22	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-20	25	16.2	16.4	-0.23	20.2	14.6	5.52
Eric Bledsoe	26	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-17	19	14.8	17.0	-2.19	19.4	14.8	4.62
Matt Barnes	65	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-13	11	15.3	19.2	-3.88	16.7	14.8	1.88
Chauncey Billups	38	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.25	-19	4	-23	17.5	15.5	1.97	15.5	16.6	-1.16
Caron Butler	52	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-3	-9	16.6	15.9	0.69	14.3	19.2	-4.91
DeAndre Jordan	47	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	-1	-13	16.6	16.1	0.52	14.8	17.7	-2.88
Blake Griffin	64	64	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	5	-25	16.6	15.7	0.94	14.7	19.9	-5.13
Chris Paul	71	71	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	5	-25	17.0	13.6	3.35	14.8	21.6	-6.79

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ty Lawson	65	64	0.67	-0.17	0.83	-0.01	23	-8	31	15.8	17.2	-1.39	16.6	15.6	1.06
Kenneth Faried	61	63	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.05	20	-5	25	15.8	17.1	-1.34	16.6	15.8	0.72
Andre Iguodala	72	72	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.02	15	0	15	15.6	18.9	-3.33	16.7	14.9	1.73
Danilo Gallinari	67	65	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.03	13	2	11	15.0	19.7	-4.70	16.9	14.8	2.13
Kosta Koufos	36	37	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	4	7	15.5	16.7	-1.21	17.5	15.5	1.91
JaVale McGee	26	25	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	11	-7	16.1	16.2	-0.11	15.9	16.5	-0.66
Andre Miller	37	37	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	16	-17	17.0	15.6	1.43	15.0	17.3	-2.29
Corey Brewer	35	34	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	17	-19	17.9	15.1	2.75	15.1	17.1	-1.96
Wilson Chandler	46	43	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.20	-8	23	-31	18.6	13.6	5.05	15.7	17.0	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 95, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
NJN 105, PHX 113	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.67,0.73,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	94.5%
NJN 80, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%