NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	105		Excitement	5.7 [706]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +24.3%
Phoenix Suns	113		Comeback	1.7 [874]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -13.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.06	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	16	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Billy Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.04	6	72%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	15	48%	0.01	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	32%	-0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Vince Carter	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.06	0.05	26	53%	-0.02	2	-0.07	8	75%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.18	0.06	-0.00	15	86%	0.31	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.03	-0.01	16	77%	0.21	2	-0.03	11	64%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	15	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	12	54%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	11	40%	-0.08	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	26.2	15.8	25.5	2.0	40.2	135.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +61.8%

NJN -5.8%

PHX +2.8%

NJN -10.1%

PHX +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHX	NBA	NJN	PHX	NBA
this game	16.8	14.5	15.5	114.1	122.8	104.0
season	16.0	13.5		99.2	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.6		106.2	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.0	17.9	18.0	14.6	16.8
PHX	13.0	16.4	14.7	14.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Billy Thomas	16	19	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.04	6	-14	20	18.6	16.4	2.13	16.3	14.0	2.22
Brian Scalabrine	20	20	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-12	16	20.2	15.9	4.34	16.2	14.0	2.17
Jacque Vaughn	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-8	8	0.0	17.0	-16.99	17.0	14.5	2.53
Travis Best	55	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-12	16	15.8	18.3	-2.54	14.3	14.7	-0.38
Nenad Krstic	58	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-1	-6	17.0	16.5	0.48	15.0	13.6	1.41
Rodney Buford	81	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	0	-8	16.5	19.4	-2.91	14.2	16.6	-2.43
Jason Collins	66	67	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.14	-15	7	-22	17.4	15.3	2.09	13.7	16.6	-2.94
Jason Kidd	82	82	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.28	-12	4	-16	16.5	19.1	-2.58	14.3	15.8	-1.46
Vince Carter	81	80	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.30	-12	4	-16	16.5	18.7	-2.18	14.5	14.7	-0.19

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	80	80	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.22	19	-11	30	14.0	17.7	-3.74	16.6	18.0	-1.37
Steve Nash	75	76	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-7	22	14.5	14.6	-0.18	17.0	15.9	1.05
Amar'e Stoudemire	81	80	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.20	12	-4	16	14.3	15.8	-1.50	17.1	14.5	2.65
Joe Johnson	83	83	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	-1	10	14.5	14.6	-0.06	16.7	17.4	-0.71
Shawn Marion	77	77	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	0	8	14.8	13.1	1.71	16.2	19.9	-3.66
Bo Outlaw	8	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	9	-10	14.0	14.5	-0.55	21.9	16.4	5.47
Steven Hunter	16	18	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.14	-6	14	-20	14.6	14.5	0.15	15.3	17.2	-1.90
Jake Voskuhl	8	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	11	-14	14.5	14.5	-0.00	16.0	16.9	-0.88
Jim Jackson	32	31	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.12	-13	21	-34	15.7	13.9	1.77	17.5	16.4	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.67,0.73,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 92, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
LAC 102, POR 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,1,1	93.6%
NJN 80, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%