NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	94		Excitement	3.9 [1007]		MVP	Jamaal Magloire (NOH): +10.4%
New Orleans Hornets	106		Comeback	2.0 [757]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (ATL): -12.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darvin Ham	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	7	67%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Dion Glover	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.02	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.00
Ira Newble	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	2	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	6	21%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	14	47%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Terry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	12	65%	0.08	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Glenn Robinson	-0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.04	0.04	13	54%	-0.02	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	7	86%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.03	0.03	10	73%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	92%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	14	50%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	11	57%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	52%	-0.00	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	17	47%	0.01	6	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	26.2	14.8	28.8	1.6	27.6	123.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +27.5%

NOH +10.3%

ATL -6.9%

NOH +21.5%

ATL -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NOH	NBA	ATL	NOH	NBA
this game	16.5	16.6	15.5	108.0	121.8	101.6
season	15.1	15.9		99.5	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.7		99.6	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.3	16.5	16.1	15.1	16.5
NOH	15.1	20.4	13.9	17.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Glover	26	27	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.22	10	-22	32	16.2	16.6	-0.36	17.6	16.2	1.41
Matt Maloney	15	15	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.19	7	-19	26	16.6	16.5	0.14	17.0	16.5	0.46
Darvin Ham	33	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-16	20	16.3	16.6	-0.34	15.3	17.4	-2.07
Chris Crawford	8	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-11	10	19.5	16.2	3.32	19.5	16.3	3.17
Alan Henderson	44	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-17	22	15.8	17.2	-1.44	16.4	16.8	-0.35
Emanual Davis	24	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-6	0	16.7	16.4	0.25	19.7	15.4	4.35
Jason Terry	61	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-2	-8	16.7	16.1	0.58	16.4	17.1	-0.65
Theo Ratliff	43	44	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	5	-22	17.2	15.8	1.44	16.8	16.4	0.35
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	58	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	3	-18	17.1	15.2	1.86	17.3	15.1	2.19
Ira Newble	52	51	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.10	-22	10	-32	16.7	16.1	0.66	14.8	19.2	-4.44
Glenn Robinson	71	70	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	3	-18	15.4	21.3	-5.92	16.2	18.2	-1.93

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	49	51	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.07	23	-11	34	14.8	19.0	-4.27	16.8	16.0	0.87
P.J. Brown	60	60	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.09	22	-10	32	15.4	19.3	-3.88	17.3	14.6	2.69
Jamal Mashburn	64	63	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.04	17	-5	22	15.2	20.4	-5.18	16.5	16.4	0.09
Baron Davis	76	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	5	2	16.7	16.1	0.61	16.6	16.0	0.57
Jamaal Magloire	46	47	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	2	8	15.2	18.2	-3.02	17.7	15.0	2.74
Elden Campbell	38	37	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.02	5	7	-2	18.4	15.2	3.15	15.1	17.5	-2.34
Stacey Augmon	36	36	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.22	-7	19	-26	19.1	14.9	4.25	15.8	17.0	-1.20
Robert Traylor	3	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	16.0	16.6	-0.64	13.3	16.6	-3.26
Courtney Alexander	49	49	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	18	-24	18.4	14.4	4.00	16.0	17.1	-1.15
George Lynch	14	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.13	-8	20	-28	21.6	15.7	5.99	14.7	16.8	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.58,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 95, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
GSW 73, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
UTA 76, PHX 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.67,0.71,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%