NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Excitement	5.6 [665]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +12.4%
Chicago Bulls	107		Comeback	2.3 [632]		LVP	Delonte West (CLE): -13.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.01	27	59%	0.22	4	-0.10	12	92%	0.03
Devin Brown	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	12	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	54%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Kaniel Dickens	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Anderson Varejao	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	11	18%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.01	0.06	16	66%	0.11	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	87%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	12	48%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	18	49%	0.07	3	-0.05	11	64%	-0.02
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.02	9	59%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.01	0.04	9	55%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	12	43%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	12	23%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	3.4	35.5	19.4	30.5	3.5	34.3	151.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +18.4%

CHI +0.6%

CHI +13.2%

CHI +19.3%

CLE -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	16.9	14.0	15.4	103.2	115.1	105.7
season	16.4	15.0		104.0	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.2		105.4	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.8	15.8	18.5	16.8	16.9
CHI	12.7	13.0	14.0	16.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	49	48	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.04	4	-15	19	14.9	19.2	-4.26	14.0	14.1	-0.11
Damon Jones	46	45	0.07	-0.56	0.63	0.01	2	-13	15	15.1	18.7	-3.61	13.9	14.2	-0.32
Kaniel Dickens	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-17	23	14.0	17.1	-3.07	16.2	13.9	2.29
Billy Thomas	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-22	33	15.9	17.0	-1.17	17.6	13.7	3.83
Dwayne Jones	23	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.23	6	-17	23	16.5	17.1	-0.55	14.1	14.0	0.13
Devin Brown	47	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.09	-6	-5	-1	17.7	16.1	1.59	14.0	14.0	0.02
Ben Wallace	51	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	1	-13	18.3	15.3	3.05	14.1	13.9	0.23
Wally Szczerbiak	63	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-7	3	16.2	18.5	-2.26	14.2	13.8	0.39
LeBron James	74	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.07	-21	10	-31	16.9	17.0	-0.08	13.9	14.7	-0.89
Delonte West	47	48	-0.56	0.07	-0.63	-0.18	-13	2	-15	18.7	15.1	3.61	14.2	13.9	0.32
Anderson Varejao	54	54	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	0.16	-28	17	-45	18.2	15.2	2.98	13.4	14.9	-1.58

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	80	79	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.03	20	-9	29	13.8	15.6	-1.84	16.9	17.3	-0.41
Luol Deng	68	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.12	22	-11	33	14.4	12.9	1.52	17.7	14.7	3.00
Larry Hughes	55	56	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	4	3	14.0	14.1	-0.17	17.0	16.9	0.07
Drew Gooden	73	73	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.09	12	-1	13	13.6	15.6	-2.00	16.5	18.4	-1.87
Joakim Noah	61	63	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.13	18	-7	25	14.0	14.1	-0.05	17.7	15.3	2.37
Andres Nocioni	34	35	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	7	-3	14.9	13.5	1.43	17.3	16.7	0.52
Aaron Gray	21	19	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.28	-7	18	-25	13.0	14.3	-1.39	15.8	17.2	-1.37
Shannon Brown	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	17	-23	16.2	13.9	2.32	13.0	17.1	-4.07
Cedric Simmons	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	17	-23	16.2	13.9	2.32	13.0	17.1	-4.07
Ben Gordon	65	65	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.21	-9	20	-29	14.1	13.9	0.15	16.4	18.2	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.71,0.78,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.96,0.95,0.87,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 91, MIL 104	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.68,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
MIN 82, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.61,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%
ORL 95, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%