NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	82		Excitement	5.0 [848]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +8.4%
Utah Jazz	100		Comeback	1.7 [861]		LVP	Howard Eisley (UTA): -13.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	12	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	5	92%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
John Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	13	50%	-0.00	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	5	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	9	54%	-0.02	5	-0.09	8	87%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	9	55%	-0.02	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Carter	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.01	16	61%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	8	78%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Curtis Borchardt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	16	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	16	55%	0.05	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.03
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	14	44%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	7	6%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	26.2	15.4	26.2	1.8	28.2	123.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +13.6%

MIN -7.3%

UTA +38.1%

UTA +7.8%

MIN -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	14.8	16.7	15.5	90.1	108.7	104.0
season	15.8	16.7		106.2	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.9		106.7	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.5	15.5	15.5	13.7	14.8
UTA	16.1	18.0	15.2	17.7	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	45	44	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.14	11	-29	40	14.4	15.1	-0.64	18.1	15.4	2.63
John Thomas	11	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-14	10	13.2	15.0	-1.81	20.0	16.3	3.71
Anthony Carter	31	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	-8	-2	15.5	14.4	1.18	16.2	17.0	-0.78
Eddie Griffin	37	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-15	12	14.4	15.0	-0.61	15.8	17.3	-1.43
Michael Olowokandi	43	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	-10	2	15.6	14.0	1.58	17.6	15.9	1.72
Trenton Hassell	28	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-8	-2	15.0	14.7	0.38	17.4	16.3	1.10
Wally Szczerbiak	61	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.16	-16	-2	-14	14.6	15.1	-0.44	16.1	18.0	-1.94
Troy Hudson	60	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	-10	2	14.4	15.5	-1.18	17.0	16.2	0.78
Kevin Garnett	69	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	0	-18	14.6	15.5	-0.90	16.1	18.6	-2.55
Latrell Sprewell	70	73	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	0.02	-24	6	-30	15.1	13.5	1.62	16.2	18.8	-2.64

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raul Lopez	63	62	0.73	-0.23	0.96	-0.18	31	-13	44	16.0	18.3	-2.36	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Carlos Boozer	70	71	0.67	-0.17	0.83	-0.15	28	-10	38	16.5	17.5	-1.00	14.6	15.2	-0.62
Raja Bell	73	72	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.08	23	-5	28	15.8	20.1	-4.23	14.2	16.7	-2.49
Andrei Kirilenko	68	67	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.11	24	-6	30	16.8	16.5	0.26	14.8	14.6	0.20
Mehmet Okur	69	67	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.09	17	1	16	16.4	17.6	-1.16	14.5	15.5	-1.05
Matt Harpring	42	41	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	22	-26	17.3	16.2	1.04	15.3	14.4	0.91
Curtis Borchardt	3	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	20	-22	13.0	16.8	-3.82	20.5	14.6	5.86
Jarron Collins	21	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	23	-28	18.1	16.3	1.88	14.0	15.0	-0.95
Kirk Snyder	3	3	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	22	-26	13.0	16.8	-3.82	17.7	14.7	3.00
Gordan Giricek	19	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	23	-28	20.1	15.8	4.23	16.7	14.2	2.49
Howard Eisley	29	29	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.15	-13	31	-44	18.3	16.0	2.36	15.8	14.3	1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.61,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 108, MIN 115	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	94.6%
PHI 103, ATL 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	94.3%
CLE 96, CHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.71,0.78,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.96,0.95,0.87,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%