NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	108		Excitement	6.2 [587]		MVP	Ryan Gomes (MIN): +11.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	115		Comeback	1.6 [700]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (MIN): -9.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	11	64%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	12	60%	0.05	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
CJ Watson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Rob Kurz	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	0.02	0.09	14	64%	0.09	6	-0.14	11	82%	0.03
Kelenna Azubuike	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	12	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.00	16	62%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	9	73%	0.14	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	-0.02	0.02	22	59%	0.11	1	-0.01	10	100%	0.05
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	59%	0.08	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.02
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Craig Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	0	100%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	0.01	-0.02	11	18%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.6	30.8	14.8	29.1	2.3	35.7	144.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +0.6%

MIN +12.5%

MIN +26.3%

MIN +8.6%

MIN +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	13.1	14.7	15.5	104.9	110.6	106.4
season	13.8	15.8		107.3	104.3
opponent	15.1	15.0		109.2	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.0	12.6	13.8	12.2	13.1
MIN	13.2	15.1	15.6	14.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	47	45	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.23	8	-15	23	13.5	12.8	0.73	15.7	13.9	1.85
Anthony Morrow	46	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-11	15	13.2	13.1	0.15	15.4	14.1	1.31
Marco Belinelli	61	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.26	4	-11	15	12.6	13.9	-1.26	15.3	13.7	1.60
Kelenna Azubuike	35	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-1	-5	13.6	12.9	0.70	14.5	14.8	-0.34
Rob Kurz	35	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-1	-5	14.2	12.6	1.66	13.6	15.2	-1.63
CJ Watson	68	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-10	13	12.6	14.1	-1.53	15.0	14.1	0.93
Stephen Jackson	80	80	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.13	-14	7	-21	13.4	12.3	1.13	14.4	15.5	-1.01
Andris Biedrins	72	75	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.21	-12	5	-17	12.8	13.9	-1.05	14.5	15.2	-0.73
Jamal Crawford	71	73	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.17	-16	9	-25	13.0	13.4	-0.35	13.8	16.7	-2.89

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	85	85	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	-7	21	14.9	13.8	1.09	13.4	12.0	1.38
Randy Foye	68	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	-5	17	14.1	15.8	-1.67	13.0	13.4	-0.42
Kevin Love	58	55	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	-1	9	14.6	14.8	-0.18	12.6	13.7	-1.11
Ryan Gomes	66	66	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	4	-1	15.8	12.7	3.07	13.5	12.6	0.89
Sebastian Telfair	54	54	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	2	3	14.7	14.7	0.04	13.7	12.5	1.15
Kevin Ollie	37	36	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.18	3	4	-1	15.2	14.4	0.79	12.4	13.6	-1.19
Mike Miller	52	53	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	3	1	13.7	15.6	-1.90	13.4	12.9	0.46
Rodney Carney	42	41	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.35	-7	14	-21	14.6	14.7	-0.07	12.8	13.4	-0.63
Craig Smith	18	18	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.01	4	3	1	14.6	14.7	-0.09	14.8	12.8	2.06
Brian Cardinal	26	26	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	12	-17	13.4	15.1	-1.73	12.6	13.3	-0.75
Rashad McCants	14	15	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	13	-19	16.1	14.5	1.60	12.0	13.3	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 89, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
PHI 103, ATL 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	94.7%
MIN 82, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.61,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%