NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	103		Excitement	6.1 [615]		MVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): +23.1%
Atlanta Hawks	113		Comeback	1.6 [935]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -17.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	-0.00	-0.05	15	52%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Lavoy Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Spencer Hawes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	11	54%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Hollis Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	83%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Davies	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Orton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.03	0.04	19	50%	-0.04	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.02
James Anderson	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.18,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.01	-0.10	0.06	19	59%	0.01	7	-0.19	8	87%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.06	-0.01	16	73%	0.32	4	-0.09	13	92%	0.06
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.08	0.05	14	75%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	6	81%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Gustavo Ayon	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	15	59%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	0.00	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	6	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	36%	-0.04	3	-0.06	6	33%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.0	29.5	15.6	24.6	1.8	33.0	130.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +19.4%

ATL +14.3%

ATL +8.0%

ATL +5.0%

ATL +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	14.3	13.6	15.1	100.0	109.7	105.2
season	13.7	14.8		98.4	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.0		104.7	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.0	14.7	14.3	13.4	14.3
ATL	13.3	14.7	11.9	14.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Orton	11	11	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-13	16	14.7	14.3	0.43	13.5	13.6	-0.19
Darius Morris	34	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.13	4	-14	18	14.0	14.5	-0.46	14.8	13.0	1.83
Spencer Hawes	70	69	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-7	4	14.6	13.8	0.86	13.1	14.6	-1.44
Hollis Thompson	30	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-9	8	13.8	14.5	-0.71	14.8	13.1	1.71
Thaddeus Young	71	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-1	-8	14.6	13.7	0.99	13.3	14.2	-0.91
James Anderson	84	84	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-5	0	14.3	14.5	-0.16	13.4	14.4	-0.98
Brandon Davies	21	21	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-6	2	13.1	14.7	-1.56	14.7	13.4	1.31
Lavoy Allen	33	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-3	-4	13.8	14.6	-0.86	14.6	13.1	1.44
Evan Turner	80	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	-1	-8	14.5	13.8	0.72	13.3	14.8	-1.55
Tony Wroten	81	80	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.09	-19	9	-28	14.5	13.6	0.89	13.2	15.2	-2.00

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	75	76	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.06	18	-8	26	13.5	13.9	-0.32	14.4	14.3	0.11
DeMarre Carroll	75	77	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-6	22	13.2	14.9	-1.70	13.8	15.8	-2.01
Al Horford	75	77	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.06	16	-6	22	12.9	15.4	-2.48	14.3	14.4	-0.06
Kyle Korver	73	74	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-4	18	13.0	15.2	-2.27	14.3	14.5	-0.25
Gustavo Ayon	36	36	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	-1	12	13.1	13.9	-0.83	15.2	13.9	1.40
Elton Brand	24	23	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	11	-12	14.7	13.3	1.42	14.7	14.2	0.46
Paul Millsap	63	62	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	13	-16	14.5	12.2	2.32	13.7	15.3	-1.66
Louis Williams	33	32	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.08	-1	11	-12	15.0	13.0	2.03	14.7	14.2	0.46
Mike Scott	9	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	15	-20	13.1	13.7	-0.56	14.5	14.3	0.17
Cartier Martin	26	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	17	-24	14.1	13.5	0.66	15.4	14.0	1.45
Dennis Schroder	26	25	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	18	-26	14.5	13.3	1.18	14.5	14.3	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 83, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.8%
GSW 108, MIN 115	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	94.7%
MIN 82, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.61,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%