NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	91		Excitement	4.7 [891]		MVP	Charlie Villanueva (MIL): +22.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	104		Comeback	3.1 [448]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -13.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	11	67%	0.10	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	53%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Maurice Taylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	58%	0.09	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	14	47%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Metta World Peace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	9	29%	-0.06	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Brad Miller	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	15	34%	-0.10	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.18	0.06	0.03	17	74%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.19	0.01	0.02	16	70%	0.18	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	10	78%	0.21	5	-0.12	7	100%	0.03
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	7	100%	0.16	6	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Damir Markota	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	67%	0.00	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
David Noel	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	-0.06	6	0%	-0.07	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	29.3	15.3	24.5	2.4	28.9	127.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +62.8%

SAC -0.9%

MIL +4.9%

SAC -13.3%

SAC -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIL	NBA	SAC	MIL	NBA
this game	15.4	16.4	15.4	98.9	116.9	104.5
season	14.7	15.2		104.7	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.1		109.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.6	14.0	15.8	15.2	15.4
MIL	14.6	18.7	14.2	18.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Price	36	36	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.11	6	-19	25	14.9	15.8	-0.82	19.3	14.4	4.94
Corliss Williamson	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-21	29	13.8	15.7	-1.86	20.8	15.6	5.12
Maurice Taylor	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-21	29	13.8	15.7	-1.86	20.8	15.6	5.12
Francisco Garcia	21	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.23	6	-19	25	15.4	15.5	-0.02	21.0	14.9	6.12
Brad Miller	30	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-11	9	16.8	14.8	2.06	16.1	16.5	-0.43
John Salmons	69	67	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-11	9	15.2	16.3	-1.09	17.0	14.5	2.45
Metta World Peace	51	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-4	-5	15.3	15.6	-0.34	15.6	17.3	-1.74
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	43	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.13	-19	6	-25	16.5	14.6	1.91	16.3	16.5	-0.23
Mike Bibby	61	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.00	-15	2	-17	15.3	15.8	-0.50	14.8	19.4	-4.64
Kenny Thomas	56	54	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	0.01	-21	8	-29	15.4	15.6	-0.23	14.5	19.4	-4.91
Kevin Martin	67	63	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.11	-25	12	-37	15.7	14.8	0.89	14.6	20.7	-6.07

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Redd	68	70	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.02	23	-10	33	15.2	20.2	-4.97	15.4	15.7	-0.31
Charlie Villanueva	56	57	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.03	20	-7	27	15.3	18.3	-2.99	16.7	13.4	3.26
Andrew Bogut	60	61	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-3	19	14.7	19.8	-5.09	15.2	16.0	-0.84
Ruben Patterson	58	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	-5	23	15.9	17.3	-1.38	16.2	14.0	2.22
Mo Williams	58	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	-2	17	15.2	18.7	-3.51	15.1	16.1	-0.95
Brian Skinner	25	25	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.11	7	6	1	19.2	15.3	3.85	17.3	14.7	2.57
Damir Markota	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	17.4	16.3	1.08	11.3	15.9	-4.56
Ersan Ilyasova	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	17.4	16.3	1.08	11.3	15.9	-4.56
David Noel	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	17.4	16.3	1.08	11.3	15.9	-4.56
Steve Blake	38	40	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.13	-6	19	-25	19.0	14.4	4.59	15.2	15.7	-0.48
Dan Gadzuric	10	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	16	-19	21.7	15.7	5.98	17.1	15.2	1.87
Charlie Bell	48	49	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.13	-7	20	-27	18.4	14.1	4.26	15.1	15.9	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.68,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 96, CHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.71,0.78,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.96,0.95,0.87,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
UTA 76, PHX 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.67,0.71,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
ORL 95, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%