inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 99 Excitement8.8 [122] MVPJames Harden (OKC): +19.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder 102 Comeback2.5 [514] LVPJason Kidd (DAL): -22.5%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ian Mahinmi0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.080.040.00390%0.1200.00475%-0.01
Shawn Marion0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.020.02968%0.112-0.054100%0.03
Dirk Nowitzki0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.020.13-0.110.011963%0.153-0.1311100%0.10
Brendan Haywood-0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Terry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.001250%0.052-0.06250%-0.02
Rodrigue Beaubois-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Brandan Wright-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00125%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Delonte West-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.030.031250%-0.021-0.032100%0.01
Vince Carter-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.00925%-0.071-0.04250%-0.01
Jason Kidd-0.220,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22-0.07-0.150.001040%-0.043-0.185100%0.03

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.20.200.060.14-0.00762%0.221-0.0210100%0.15
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.080.070.00692%0.191-0.0400%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.060.02587%0.182-0.065100%0.05
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00-0.02450%0.061-0.0500%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.1,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.10-0.110.012158%0.052-0.078100%0.04
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Daequan Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.06-0.06-0.080.01-0.001752%0.207-0.271687%0.10
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.05-0.00250%-0.002-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game32.72.035.319.533.23.039.2164.9
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +22.4%
OKC +36.6%
DAL -7.5%
DAL -3.9%
OKC +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALOKCNBADALOKCNBA
this game15.914.515.6104.2107.4102.8
season15.514.7101.6107.9
opponent15.815.5101.9100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL16.415.816.115.215.9
OKC14.914.214.514.214.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ian Mahinmi33360.29-0.791.070.087-101715.915.80.0915.214.01.13
Rodrigue Beaubois9100.08-0.580.67-0.096-91514.416.0-1.5615.614.31.27
Jason Kidd69710.02-0.520.53-0.3713-162916.115.30.7515.012.92.13
Brendan Haywood1919-0.06-0.440.370.02-30-316.415.70.7115.714.11.59
Brandan Wright1411-0.18-0.320.130.11-107-1714.616.1-1.5012.514.7-2.27
Delonte West5047-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.02-85-1316.415.31.0714.314.7-0.41
Shawn Marion7677-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.527-101716.214.31.9214.514.5-0.05
Dirk Nowitzki7574-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.512-5716.015.20.8314.614.00.66
Vince Carter6868-0.770.27-1.03-0.41-129-2115.317.2-1.9113.915.9-1.94
Jason Terry6262-0.840.34-1.18-0.34-1714-3115.416.7-1.2513.815.7-1.84

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Harden69690.83-0.331.160.3616-132914.015.6-1.5315.217.5-2.22
Serge Ibaka44450.73-0.230.960.3214-112514.514.5-0.0216.415.31.08
Russell Westbrook78760.460.040.410.55-36-914.215.7-1.5116.214.61.53
Derek Fisher48490.370.130.230.0411-81914.214.7-0.4315.316.4-1.13
Kevin Durant85840.280.220.070.49-710-1714.514.30.1815.915.60.24
Daequan Cook15160.060.44-0.38-0.147-41115.514.31.1915.415.9-0.50
Nick Collison52530.020.48-0.47-0.0112-113.915.1-1.2415.216.7-1.46
Kendrick Perkins51500.010.49-0.490.30-1013-2315.713.02.6416.415.21.16
Thabo Sefolosha3333-0.250.75-1.010.16-1417-3114.814.30.5016.815.41.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.69,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.31,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 97, MIL 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.65,0.73,0.55,0.55,0.32,0.58,191.0%
IND 95, MIL 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.62,0.57,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.22,0.58,190.3%
MEM 84, LAL 860.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.32,0.72,190.0%