NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	97		Excitement	9.7 [85]		MVP	Greg Monroe (MIL): +37.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	100		Comeback	3.4 [434]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -42.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.34	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.34,0.34	0.10	0.27	0.02	17	62%	0.41	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.11
Malcolm Delaney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.2,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.01	25	53%	0.14	4	-0.18	3	100%	0.02
Mike Muscala	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	30%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	7	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	9	45%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Taurean Prince	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	5	45%	0.04	2	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.19	0.05	-0.23	0.01	11	67%	0.07	3	-0.26	8	75%	-0.14

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.37	0.37	0.01	0.36	-0.01	15	47%	0.37	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.18	0.20	0.01	22	64%	0.39	1	-0.04	9	78%	0.04
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	4	80%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	9	72%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.06,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	14	48%	0.05	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.27,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.42	-0.42	-0.19	-0.24	-0.01	13	20%	-0.28	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	27.1	15.5	27.7	2.0	36.4	134.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +42.6%

ATL -12.2%

ATL -28.6%

MIL +54.2%

ATL -5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIL	NBA	ATL	MIL	NBA
this game	15.1	15.5	14.8	103.2	106.4	107.7
season	14.4	14.9		104.2	107.4
opponent	15.3	14.9		107.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.2	17.7	13.2	14.0	15.1
MIL	13.2	19.2	16.8	13.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taurean Prince	36	37	0.40	-0.90	1.29	0.31	3	-6	9	14.8	15.3	-0.55	17.0	14.6	2.44
Thabo Sefolosha	61	62	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.18	10	-13	23	14.6	16.1	-1.50	15.4	15.8	-0.49
Malcolm Delaney	19	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	1	-5	16.6	14.7	1.83	17.6	14.9	2.70
Kris Humphries	22	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	5	-13	16.9	14.6	2.34	17.2	15.0	2.23
Mike Muscala	13	13	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	9	-21	15.5	15.1	0.40	15.5	15.5	-0.07
Dwight Howard	65	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.45	4	-7	11	14.7	16.1	-1.43	14.7	17.4	-2.61
Dennis Schroder	75	74	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.41	1	-4	5	14.7	16.6	-1.83	14.9	17.6	-2.70
Tim Hardaway Jr.	78	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.50	2	-5	7	14.9	16.2	-1.37	15.3	16.9	-1.68
Ersan Ilyasova	67	64	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.68	4	-7	11	15.4	14.4	1.00	14.9	16.9	-2.07
Mike Dunleavy	34	33	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.27	-15	12	-27	15.9	14.6	1.29	16.5	15.0	1.58

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Monroe	52	52	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.18	13	-10	23	15.6	15.5	0.08	15.0	15.2	-0.22
Jason Terry	45	48	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	-9	21	16.4	14.7	1.69	16.1	14.0	2.10
Matthew Dellavedova	35	35	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.10	16	-13	29	16.5	15.0	1.49	16.6	14.3	2.32
Tony Snell	67	66	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.34	-2	5	-7	14.7	17.6	-2.91	14.2	17.4	-3.24
Giannis Antetokounmpo	72	73	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.38	-4	7	-11	14.9	17.6	-2.70	14.6	17.0	-2.36
Malcolm Brogdon	71	70	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.49	-8	11	-19	15.7	14.9	0.86	14.6	16.7	-2.19
Khris Middleton	65	64	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.51	-9	12	-21	14.8	17.1	-2.34	14.9	15.5	-0.61
Mirza Teletovic	22	21	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	-4	11	17.6	14.9	2.70	17.0	14.6	2.36
Spencer Hawes	20	20	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	8	-13	16.9	15.1	1.75	17.4	14.5	2.90
Thon Maker	21	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	8	-13	14.9	15.7	-0.86	13.9	15.5	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.65,0.73,0.55,0.55,0.32,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 99, OKC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.69,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.31,0.42,1	91.0%
MIN 108, DEN 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.46,0.31,0.26,1	89.9%
NJN 69, CHI 71	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.25,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.41,1	89.9%