NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	69		Excitement	8.5 [185]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +5.5%
Chicago Bulls	71		Comeback	3.2 [185]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -69.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	10	71%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Scott Burrell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	1	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Johnny Newman	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	1	100%	0.03	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	9	26%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18	-0.01	-0.12	0.05	18	53%	-0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.69	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.09,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.36,-0.69	-0.16	-0.50	0.03	20	39%	-0.36	4	-0.33	6	50%	-0.07

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.06	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.02	-0.00	6	43%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Will Perdue	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Dedric Willoughby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	2	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	3	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.02	-0.23	-0.03	12	54%	-0.03	3	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.43,-0.36,-0.47,-0.58,-0.43	-0.43	-0.19	-0.23	0.00	19	35%	-0.26	3	-0.17	8	50%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	30.0	15.7	25.2	1.8	36.7	134.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +17.7%

CHI +3.7%

CHI +32.8%

NJN -3.7%

NJN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	16.7	16.6	15.2	80.2	81.6	101.7
season	15.5	16.5		102.1	91.8
opponent	14.9	14.7		102.3	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.1	14.7	18.4	18.5	16.7
CHI	18.3	17.3	15.9	15.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim McIlvaine	42	40	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.03	7	-9	16	16.4	16.9	-0.50	19.1	14.5	4.57
Scott Burrell	25	25	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.16	-5	3	-8	16.8	16.6	0.14	15.7	17.0	-1.28
Kerry Kittles	70	70	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.46	11	-13	24	15.6	21.4	-5.79	17.0	15.2	1.81
Sherman Douglas	16	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.14	-10	8	-18	21.2	15.6	5.56	14.8	17.0	-2.23
Johnny Newman	43	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-1	0	17.0	16.3	0.67	17.0	16.2	0.79
Stephon Marbury	69	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.59	10	-12	22	15.5	21.3	-5.77	17.1	14.8	2.25
Kendall Gill	43	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.30	-1	-1	0	16.3	17.0	-0.67	16.2	17.0	-0.79
Lucious Harris	17	18	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	13	-28	21.5	15.5	5.99	15.2	17.0	-1.85
Keith Van Horn	56	57	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.55	-1	-1	0	17.2	15.7	1.48	16.8	16.4	0.35
Jamie Feick	49	52	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.52	-5	3	-8	16.2	17.2	-0.97	15.0	19.0	-3.96

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dickey Simpkins	35	37	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-6	14	15.2	17.6	-2.35	17.1	16.3	0.83
Metta World Peace	68	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	0	2	16.3	17.7	-1.35	16.7	16.6	0.02
Dedric Willoughby	42	42	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.12	17	-15	32	16.4	16.8	-0.39	19.0	14.5	4.48
Chris Anstey	17	15	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	-6	14	15.1	17.0	-1.96	21.0	15.7	5.25
Michael Ruffin	34	31	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	-3	8	17.1	16.3	0.85	17.5	16.2	1.23
Elton Brand	56	57	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.38	-7	9	-16	17.1	15.8	1.28	16.7	16.7	0.01
Randy Brown	63	63	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.58	-15	17	-32	16.9	16.0	0.87	16.0	18.6	-2.60
Will Perdue	26	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	7	-12	19.0	15.6	3.38	13.8	17.8	-4.04
Kornel David	25	24	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	7	-12	16.3	16.8	-0.49	15.2	17.2	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.25,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.41,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 108, DEN 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.46,0.31,0.26,1	92.9%
SAS 87, CLE 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.33,0.27,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.27,0.16,0.12,0.28,0.31,0.46,0.45,0.42,1	91.3%
LAC 72, CHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.19,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.41,1	90.3%