inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 108 Excitement10.5 [46] MVPAllen Iverson (DEN): +34.7%
Denver Nuggets 111 Comeback9.2 [294] LVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): -46.9%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ryan Gomes0.110,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.14-0.020.011091%0.242-0.132100%0.01
Rashad McCants0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.020.010.01-0.011961%0.145-0.1200%0.00
Corey Brewer0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.01250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Greg Buckner-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Sebastian Telfair-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.050.01771%0.082-0.1100%0.00
Marko Jaric-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.050.03-0.09-0.011256%0.101-0.153100%0.03
Craig Smith-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.01-0.00540%0.013-0.0700%0.00
Al Jefferson-0.130,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.13,0.05,-0.130.03-0.140.011459%0.143-0.276100%0.09
Antoine Walker-0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.12,-0.220.01-0.230.011154%-0.171-0.05425%-0.16

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Allen Iverson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.18,0.350.350.050.300.002653%0.464-0.121479%0.02
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.03-0.00761%0.0900.004100%0.03
Yakhouba Diawara0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.03-0.00380%0.062-0.07450%-0.04
Marcus Camby0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.050.001144%0.001-0.07580%0.00
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.04-0.021041%-0.062-0.022100%0.01
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.01-0.140.00757%-0.022-0.1300%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.25,-0.4,-0.47-0.47-0.06-0.400.011950%-0.105-0.371486%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.02.528.415.626.01.837.6138.8
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN -46.1%
DEN +37.1%
DEN +46.8%
DEN +14.2%
MIN -2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDENNBAMINDENNBA
this game15.514.115.4110.2114.4105.7
season15.913.3102.2108.2
opponent15.215.0105.4109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN16.216.613.415.815.5
DEN12.614.014.814.914.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rashad McCants71730.08-0.580.65-0.3615-183314.916.9-1.9714.512.91.59
Sebastian Telfair6365-0.06-0.440.37-0.215-81315.814.81.0714.114.00.06
Ryan Gomes7071-0.09-0.410.31-0.4713-162914.318.5-4.2114.612.71.94
Al Jefferson7875-0.12-0.380.25-0.399-122114.917.6-2.6914.213.60.56
Greg Buckner2320-0.25-0.250.010.05-107-1716.415.21.2212.714.4-1.67
Corey Brewer1613-0.28-0.22-0.060.13-1411-2518.614.93.7111.514.5-2.93
Antoine Walker5252-0.550.05-0.61-0.52-1-2115.315.6-0.2814.613.51.05
Craig Smith3434-0.570.07-0.640.05-2118-3918.413.94.4813.114.6-1.56
Marko Jaric8382-0.640.14-0.79-0.32-118-1915.216.9-1.7414.014.6-0.62

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eduardo Najera47460.93-0.431.360.1427-245112.215.8-3.6117.413.73.64
Allen Iverson89900.66-0.160.820.3411-81913.817.1-3.3315.415.7-0.32
Marcus Camby85860.410.090.320.3812-114.411.62.8415.117.9-2.80
J.R. Smith42450.220.28-0.06-0.049-61513.614.5-0.8816.314.71.58
Carmelo Anthony76780.100.40-0.300.42-1114-2514.612.32.2214.818.1-3.32
Yakhouba Diawara12120.090.41-0.320.0321111.614.4-2.8417.915.12.80
Anthony Carter61590.090.41-0.320.56-1619-3514.713.01.7014.616.7-2.05
Linas Kleiza7374-0.000.50-0.510.23-811-1914.911.73.2015.116.5-1.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.46,0.31,0.26,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 69, CHI 710.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.25,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.41,192.9%
ATL 97, MIL 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.65,0.73,0.55,0.55,0.32,0.58,189.9%
LAC 72, CHI 740.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.19,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.41,189.0%