NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	93		Excitement	10.1 [58]		MVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): +37.0%
Miami Heat	101		Comeback	4.0 [475]		LVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): -51.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.07	0.18	0.00	3	78%	0.24	0	0.00	3	67%	0.06
Carlos Boozer	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.09	-0.02	14	54%	0.18	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.03
CJ Watson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.03	0.03	-0.07	-0.00	16	59%	0.10	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	10	30%	-0.05	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.08	0.02	6	38%	-0.08	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	-0.51	0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.13,-0.39,-0.39,-0.46,-0.46,-0.51,-0.51	-0.20	-0.37	-0.06	27	38%	-0.18	7	-0.33	7	86%	-0.04

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.08	0.29	0.00	12	63%	0.44	2	-0.07	11	91%	0.11
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.09	0.17	-0.01	8	75%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	3	112%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.16,0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	0.06	26	54%	0.24	5	-0.31	13	100%	0.09
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	5	42%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	5	17%	-0.05	3	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23,-0.38,-0.38,-0.31,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.08	-0.21	0.01	16	39%	-0.18	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.6	2.5	33.2	19.8	26.8	2.6	39.9	2.0	21.7	178.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +30.8%

MIA +27.3%

CHI -26.1%

MIA +19.6%

CHI -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIA	NBA	CHI	MIA	NBA
this game	15.1	16.9	15.5	93.0	102.0	105.7
season	15.7	16.0		106.5	109.0
opponent	15.6	15.9		102.3	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	15.5	13.8	15.4	17.6	11.4	15.1
MIA	16.5	16.8	18.1	16.7	15.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	43	42	0.33	-0.83	1.17	0.04	10	-18	28	15.6	14.7	0.92	17.4	16.5	0.85
Joakim Noah	84	84	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.28	5	-13	18	14.9	15.8	-0.87	17.4	14.0	3.40
Omer Asik	4	3	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.12	-10	2	-12	16.0	15.0	0.96	12.7	17.0	-4.35
Kyle Korver	30	32	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.30	0	-8	8	13.5	15.8	-2.26	16.7	17.0	-0.30
Carlos Boozer	92	91	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.63	10	-18	28	15.2	13.9	1.31	17.1	14.4	2.73
Derrick Rose	91	89	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-6	4	15.3	13.2	2.04	16.9	16.5	0.43
Taj Gibson	20	20	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.26	-21	13	-34	15.0	15.1	-0.10	14.3	17.5	-3.18
Ronnie Brewer	39	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	4	-16	14.5	15.4	-0.93	18.0	16.2	1.85
CJ Watson	13	13	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.02	-12	4	-16	17.8	14.7	3.09	15.2	17.1	-1.91
Luol Deng	84	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.20	-8	0	-8	15.0	15.4	-0.35	16.4	19.4	-2.97

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	52	51	1.38	-0.88	2.27	0.33	36	-28	64	15.7	18.3	-2.60	15.0	15.1	-0.08
Udonis Haslem	64	63	1.13	-0.63	1.77	0.40	25	-17	42	16.6	17.3	-0.70	14.7	15.7	-0.99
Chris Bosh	82	84	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	3	2	17.0	16.4	0.58	15.2	14.3	0.91
Mario Chalmers	38	38	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	-2	12	17.1	16.7	0.39	15.3	15.0	0.30
LeBron James	92	93	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.30	-1	9	-10	17.1	13.9	3.26	15.0	16.3	-1.30
Dwyane Wade	76	78	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.25	-10	18	-28	17.0	16.6	0.42	14.7	16.5	-1.76
Mike Bibby	39	40	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.05	-11	19	-30	17.6	16.4	1.11	15.9	14.5	1.41
Joel Anthony	52	53	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	-0.02	-14	22	-36	17.0	16.7	0.32	15.3	14.9	0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.31,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.77,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 76, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.66,0.83,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.97,1,1	89.7%
NYK 98, ATL 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.64,0.9,0.84,1	89.5%
DEN 99, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.59,0.66,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.55,0.91,0.46,0.31,0.55,0.84,0.92,1	89.2%