NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	99		Excitement	9.8 [78]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +48.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	101		Comeback	5.4 [529]		LVP	Shammond Williams (DEN): -15.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney White	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.39,0.12	0.01	0.10	-0.02	17	56%	0.18	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Savovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Junior Harrington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08	0.03	-0.14	-0.03	15	62%	0.18	3	-0.26	2	100%	0.05
Nene	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	4	76%	0.05	3	-0.15	9	56%	-0.03
Donnell Harvey	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	0.00	-0.01	7	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Shammond Williams	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.2,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15	0.05	-0.18	0.03	14	71%	0.18	4	-0.33	3	33%	-0.05

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.42,0.61,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.48	0.48	0.20	0.28	-0.00	23	78%	0.60	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.14	-0.00	7	74%	0.21	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.11	-0.01	15	55%	0.25	1	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.04	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	4	30%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	14	25%	-0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	50.8	2.6	29.1	15.7	23.4	2.0	33.0	1.8	15.8	174.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +19.2%

DEN -2.5%

DEN -17.6%

SEA +51.7%

DEN -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SEA	NBA	DEN	SEA	NBA
this game	17.4	17.3	15.5	108.8	109.8	101.6
season	15.7	16.5		90.4	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.3		102.0	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DEN	16.0	16.0	18.9	19.1	17.7	17.4
SEA	17.5	16.0	18.0	18.8	15.7	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	68	69	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.35	14	-16	30	16.8	19.3	-2.51	18.2	14.6	3.68
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	22	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-1	0	16.0	17.9	-1.88	16.0	17.8	-1.77
Predrag Savovic	8	9	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	6	-14	16.7	17.5	-0.74	13.0	17.8	-4.80
Junior Harrington	28	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.13	-12	10	-22	19.0	16.7	2.32	15.4	18.1	-2.65
Rodney White	68	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.58	12	-14	26	16.6	19.8	-3.15	18.2	14.7	3.51
Nene	57	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.30	2	-4	6	17.7	16.9	0.78	18.6	15.2	3.48
Shammond Williams	78	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.49	4	-6	10	17.6	16.3	1.31	17.7	15.0	2.68
Donnell Harvey	30	29	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	17	-36	20.2	16.1	4.08	15.7	18.1	-2.39
Chris Andersen	28	28	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.07	-16	14	-30	18.2	17.1	1.13	14.2	18.7	-4.42

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	62	63	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.36	22	-20	42	16.1	19.9	-3.87	18.2	15.8	2.37
Vladimir Radmanovic	61	59	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.52	9	-7	16	16.2	19.5	-3.30	17.0	18.2	-1.22
Jerome James	39	41	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.19	20	-18	38	17.2	17.4	-0.17	19.2	16.0	3.17
Elden Campbell	25	23	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.41	3	-1	4	15.0	18.2	-3.14	16.7	17.7	-0.98
Ray Allen	81	80	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.47	-2	4	-6	17.7	14.9	2.75	17.6	16.5	1.11
Rashard Lewis	79	78	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	4	-6	17.5	16.1	1.45	17.3	17.9	-0.58
Reggie Evans	39	39	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.03	-12	14	-26	19.0	16.1	2.91	17.4	17.4	0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	20	19	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	0.08	-17	19	-36	20.5	16.4	4.06	15.7	17.9	-2.20
Brent Barry	45	44	-0.60	1.10	-1.70	-0.22	-13	15	-28	18.4	16.3	2.19	16.3	18.5	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.59,0.66,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.55,0.91,0.46,0.31,0.55,0.84,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 93, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.31,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.77,0.98,1	89.2%
ATL 115, BKN 120	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.75,0.81,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.34,0.84,0.5,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.72,1	87.8%
MEM 115, GSW 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.47,0.64,0.43,0.85,0.54,0.38,0.37,0.57,0.73,1	87.8%