NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	115		Excitement	11.3 [35]		MVP	Deron Williams (BKN): +30.9%
Brooklyn Nets	120		Comeback	8.5 [81]		LVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): -34.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28	0.03	0.24	-0.02	14	53%	0.30	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.11	0.00	15	67%	0.25	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16	0.04	0.13	0.00	13	61%	0.19	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Scott	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	62%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pero Antic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.04	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.08	0.02	-0.09	0.01	16	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.09,-0.03,0.07,-0.08,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.36,-0.35	-0.06	-0.26	0.02	16	50%	0.02	5	-0.37	8	62%	-0.09

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.51,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31	0.31	0.19	0.15	0.03	25	67%	0.39	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.11	0.20	0.01	19	59%	0.34	1	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.06	0.19	0.00	12	62%	0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	6	73%	0.18	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.10	0.00	11	43%	0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.00	16	46%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.1	2.7	26.5	15.3	29.5	3.4	36.4	1.8	13.5	151.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +25.9%

BKN +19.0%

ATL -35.3%

BKN +37.4%

BKN +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BKN	NBA	ATL	BKN	NBA
this game	14.8	16.0	15.1	110.6	117.6	104.2
season	14.9	15.3		106.7	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.8	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	13.6	14.6	15.9	13.8	18.6	14.8
BKN	16.4	16.1	14.1	18.3	14.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	23	24	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.11	5	-10	15	15.3	14.7	0.60	14.5	16.5	-1.97
Kent Bazemore	36	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.32	-12	7	-19	14.4	15.1	-0.68	14.0	17.0	-2.98
Pero Antic	31	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	7	-19	14.6	14.9	-0.32	17.8	15.4	2.44
Jeff Teague	75	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.64	10	-15	25	14.7	15.1	-0.37	16.7	14.3	2.43
DeMarre Carroll	85	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.40	2	-7	9	14.8	15.1	-0.33	16.5	14.0	2.52
Dennis Schroder	28	29	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	10	-25	15.4	14.6	0.76	14.3	16.7	-2.43
Al Horford	63	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.24	-5	0	-5	14.9	14.7	0.25	15.3	17.2	-1.87
Kyle Korver	88	88	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-5	5	15.0	14.0	0.99	16.4	14.1	2.29
Paul Millsap	91	88	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.47	2	-7	9	14.7	15.6	-0.89	16.4	13.9	2.54

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	72	73	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.67	1	4	-3	16.5	15.0	1.44	15.3	13.7	1.56
Jarrett Jack	43	45	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	-14	33	14.5	17.2	-2.62	15.3	14.5	0.84
Deron Williams	89	89	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.41	3	2	1	16.6	12.1	4.55	14.5	16.7	-2.14
Bojan Bogdanovic	82	86	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	4	-3	16.2	15.6	0.56	15.1	13.4	1.68
Alan Anderson	47	47	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.05	15	-10	25	14.0	17.8	-3.72	14.9	14.8	0.10
Brook Lopez	79	83	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.29	-3	8	-11	17.2	12.0	5.23	14.3	17.1	-2.89
Mason Plumlee	10	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	4	-3	11.5	16.5	-5.04	14.9	14.8	0.04
Joe Johnson	88	89	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.17	-12	17	-29	16.3	14.6	1.71	14.8	15.3	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.75,0.81,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.34,0.84,0.5,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 100, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.32,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.1,0.13,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.42,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.72,1	88.3%
DEN 99, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.59,0.66,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.55,0.91,0.46,0.31,0.55,0.84,0.92,1	87.8%
MEM 115, GSW 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.47,0.64,0.43,0.85,0.54,0.38,0.37,0.57,0.73,1	87.5%