inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 76 Excitement8.9 [128] MVPJoe Smith (MIN): +18.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves 86 Comeback2.6 [830] LVPLaPhonso Ellis (ATL): -34.6%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Terry0.150,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15-0.060.18-0.021150%0.264-0.1100%0.00
Jim Jackson-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.011250%0.043-0.062100%0.02
Roshown McLeod-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.01942%-0.0300.0010%-0.02
Dion Glover-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.010.010.04853%-0.021-0.02333%-0.03
Cal Bowdler-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.00542%-0.0500.00250%-0.03
Bimbo Coles-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.00729%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Alan Henderson-0.110,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.05-0.011030%-0.071-0.0400%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.01-0.17-0.00569%0.013-0.19333%-0.02
LaPhonso Ellis-0.350,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.12,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.34,-0.35,-0.35-0.13-0.25-0.031436%-0.114-0.2400%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.080.130.021175%0.242-0.052100%0.01
William Avery0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.130.130.040.06-0.021062%0.131-0.001100%0.00
Anthony Peeler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.03-0.01-0.04667%0.0410.0200%0.00
Sam Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.01-0.00658%0.0300.0000%0.00
Dean Garrett00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.01933%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Kevin Garnett0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.13,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.140.060.002634%-0.022-0.0710%-0.02
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.06-0.10-0.011331%-0.1500.0000%0.00
Bobby Jackson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.13-0.040.01722%-0.132-0.054100%-0.00
Malik Sealy0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.11-0.110.01722%-0.201-0.02450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.11.625.215.823.22.532.21.610.2136.4
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.71.718.2137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL -13.4%
ATL -1.8%
MIN +12.6%
MIN +55.0%
ATL -2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMINNBAATLMINNBA
this game18.616.515.284.494.5101.7
season15.415.199.3103.5
opponent15.715.2101.1105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ATL17.418.616.322.820.018.6
MIN15.415.715.019.620.016.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Terry58570.28-0.781.050.164-141816.821.9-5.1115.119.0-3.93
Roshown McLeod39390.08-0.580.650.051-111216.720.1-3.3914.817.8-3.01
Jim Jackson57560.07-0.570.64-0.075-152017.021.3-4.3015.418.4-2.98
Cal Bowdler3636-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-111220.517.43.1517.515.91.64
Dikembe Mutombo8180-0.20-0.300.11-0.221-111218.519.7-1.1716.119.4-3.21
Alan Henderson5658-0.30-0.20-0.110.05-122-1417.420.6-3.2216.017.5-1.53
Bimbo Coles3235-0.550.05-0.61-0.20-122-1421.916.85.1118.515.33.26
LaPhonso Ellis5152-0.580.08-0.65-0.25-111-1220.116.73.3917.814.83.01
Dion Glover3334-0.790.29-1.09-0.30-177-2421.317.04.3018.815.23.65

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
William Avery52500.88-0.381.260.2123-133617.515.32.2019.717.32.41
Joe Smith54530.80-0.301.100.2718-82616.816.20.5418.718.50.12
Malik Sealy40410.310.190.120.1655015.417.4-1.9418.818.40.40
Kevin Garnett76750.290.210.080.1746-216.317.9-1.6718.618.8-0.23
Sam Mitchell37370.130.37-0.24-0.1182616.616.50.0918.019.1-1.08
Dean Garrett550.070.43-0.37-0.0237-415.816.6-0.7824.218.35.92
Anthony Peeler4242-0.090.59-0.68-0.00-313-1617.215.91.3018.219.0-0.83
Wally Szczerbiak4747-0.090.59-0.690.14-818-2616.017.2-1.2018.618.7-0.08
Rasho Nesterovic4646-0.190.69-0.88-0.04-515-2016.816.30.4518.318.9-0.54
Bobby Jackson4040-0.601.10-1.71-0.16-1525-4015.017.8-2.7917.319.7-2.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.66,0.83,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.97,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 95, MIN 1000.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.57,0.52,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.62,0.46,0.45,0.73,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.91,191.1%
CHI 93, MIA 1010.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.31,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.77,0.98,189.7%
WAS 114, NJN 1200.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.69,0.72,0.54,0.61,0.78,0.97,0.99,189.3%