NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	88		Excitement	8.5 [178]		MVP	Kyle Korver (CHI): +30.3%
Indiana Pacers	84		Comeback	2.6 [580]		LVP	Darren Collison (IND): -21.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.13,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.10	0.20	0.00	6	100%	0.33	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,0.16	-0.08	0.22	-0.01	18	45%	0.29	5	-0.13	15	87%	0.10
Keith Bogans	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	0.01	4	112%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	61%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Omer Asik	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.01	19	50%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
CJ Watson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	10	20%	-0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	9	58%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.11	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brandon Rush	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	9	22%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.08,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.11	0.01	21	50%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	9	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	12	36%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	12	25%	-0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.15	-0.00	8	50%	-0.08	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.6	30.2	15.5	30.5	2.4	36.4	140.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +69.0%

CHI +10.2%

IND -20.5%

IND -8.0%

IND -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	15.9	16.7	15.5	97.8	96.6	105.7
season	15.7	14.7		106.5	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.9		104.5	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.6	14.6	15.7	17.9	15.9
IND	15.7	16.1	17.8	17.3	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	85	82	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.49	9	-5	14	15.5	21.4	-5.86	17.0	12.4	4.55
Joakim Noah	66	65	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.44	6	-2	8	15.6	16.6	-1.03	16.6	17.0	-0.48
Derrick Rose	80	78	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.40	6	-2	8	15.5	18.6	-3.07	16.7	16.9	-0.22
Carlos Boozer	59	58	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	-2	8	15.4	16.8	-1.48	17.7	14.7	2.95
Ronnie Brewer	19	19	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.20	0	4	-4	16.8	15.6	1.17	14.9	17.2	-2.30
Taj Gibson	39	37	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.18	-1	5	-6	17.1	15.0	2.09	15.1	17.9	-2.75
Kyle Korver	35	34	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	5	-6	15.5	16.1	-0.53	17.5	16.2	1.38
Keith Bogans	37	35	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	0	4	15.8	15.9	-0.19	16.8	16.6	0.23
Kurt Thomas	10	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	4	-4	15.1	16.0	-0.86	17.8	16.6	1.21
Omer Asik	6	5	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	7	-10	17.5	15.7	1.75	16.6	16.7	-0.10
CJ Watson	14	13	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.06	-6	10	-16	19.6	15.2	4.47	15.2	16.9	-1.72

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh McRoberts	32	35	0.31	-0.81	1.11	0.04	9	-13	22	15.5	17.4	-1.83	15.4	16.2	-0.76
Mike Dunleavy	24	24	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.02	3	-7	10	15.4	17.2	-1.82	17.5	15.3	2.23
Brandon Rush	3	4	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-7	10	14.7	16.8	-2.10	21.0	15.6	5.37
A.J. Price	24	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-4	4	16.4	16.8	-0.38	16.1	15.8	0.30
Jeff Foster	43	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-4	4	17.1	16.3	0.80	17.9	14.0	3.86
Paul George	53	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-2	0	17.1	16.0	1.13	15.5	16.6	-1.12
Darren Collison	62	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.17	-2	-2	0	16.8	16.4	0.41	15.8	16.1	-0.30
Roy Hibbert	44	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	0	-4	16.3	17.1	-0.80	14.0	17.9	-3.86
Dahntay Jones	31	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	1	-6	16.6	16.7	-0.12	16.5	15.6	0.97
Danny Granger	64	67	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.50	-9	5	-14	16.9	16.0	0.94	15.0	18.3	-3.22
Tyler Hansbrough	55	55	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.43	-13	9	-22	17.4	15.5	1.83	16.2	15.4	0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 92, LAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.17,0.28,0.09,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.58,0	90.6%
NOH 111, MIL 107	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.27,0	90.6%
WAS 124, PHX 121	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.54,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.58,0	90.1%