NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	124		Excitement	10.5 [72]		MVP	Thomas Bryant (WAS): +43.5%
Phoenix Suns	121		Comeback	1.8 [651]		LVP	Troy Brown Jr. (WAS): -14.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thomas Bryant	0.43	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,0.43	0.02	0.44	0.03	16	47%	0.47	1	-0.04	6	33%	-0.12
Jabari Parker	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.17	0.18	-0.00	16	67%	0.38	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.03
Jordan McRae	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.19	0.15	-0.00	10	84%	0.34	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Tomas Satoransky	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	73%	0.16	3	-0.12	12	83%	0.03
Bradley Beal	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.06	-0.01	22	58%	0.16	2	-0.13	4	25%	-0.06
Jeff Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	38%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chasson Randle	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	5	15%	-0.09	2	-0.06	3	0%	-0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.3	0.30	0.03	0.27	-0.00	11	48%	0.30	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.28	0.28	0.30	-0.01	0.01	29	74%	0.53	5	-0.25	10	90%	0.03
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.11	0.01	12	62%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.08	0.00	6	86%	0.21	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	48%	0.09	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Elie Okobo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Spalding	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.4	30.3	14.4	25.8	1.8	36.5	135.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +2.8%

PHX -0.5%

WAS +33.0%

WAS +12.7%

WAS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHX	NBA	WAS	PHX	NBA
this game	14.2	14.1	14.3	121.6	118.6	109.3
season	13.8	14.4		109.8	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.3		114.0	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.2	12.0	13.8	17.3	14.2
PHX	14.0	12.4	15.0	15.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	77	79	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.35	13	-10	23	14.5	13.2	1.24	13.5	16.1	-2.67
Thomas Bryant	84	83	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.25	14	-11	25	14.2	14.2	-0.06	14.3	13.1	1.17
Tomas Satoransky	79	80	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.33	7	-4	11	14.5	13.0	1.58	14.2	13.5	0.71
Jabari Parker	69	68	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.47	1	2	-1	14.0	14.5	-0.50	14.1	13.9	0.18
Jordan McRae	52	52	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.52	-4	7	-11	14.3	14.0	0.27	14.7	13.4	1.25
Jeff Green	23	23	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	5	-7	11.8	14.9	-3.09	13.0	14.4	-1.31
Troy Brown Jr.	49	50	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	2	-1	14.3	14.0	0.29	13.5	14.6	-1.10
Chasson Randle	30	27	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	11	-19	13.5	14.4	-0.91	15.6	13.5	2.04
Bobby Portis	47	48	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	10	-17	14.6	13.8	0.82	13.9	14.2	-0.31

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richaun Holmes	44	45	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.29	11	-14	25	13.7	14.4	-0.70	13.9	14.4	-0.44
Ray Spalding	14	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-6	9	15.1	13.9	1.26	14.3	14.1	0.18
Troy Daniels	48	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.22	5	-8	13	14.2	13.9	0.24	13.9	14.4	-0.55
Elie Okobo	24	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	1	-5	12.2	14.6	-2.37	12.4	14.7	-2.36
Jamal Crawford	63	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-4	5	14.2	13.8	0.43	13.8	14.8	-0.98
Devin Booker	78	76	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.41	8	-11	19	13.8	14.8	-1.01	15.2	11.3	3.85
De'Anthony Melton	45	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	1	-5	14.4	13.8	0.57	14.1	14.2	-0.08
Dragan Bender	66	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.22	-9	6	-15	13.8	14.4	-0.60	13.6	15.2	-1.56
Deandre Ayton	58	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-14	11	-25	14.4	13.7	0.70	14.4	13.9	0.44
Mikal Bridges	70	72	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.31	-12	9	-21	14.5	13.1	1.36	14.7	12.8	1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.54,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 86, CLE 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.26,0	91.6%
SAS 89, NOH 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.36,0.55,0.43,0	90.9%
MIA 92, LAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.17,0.28,0.09,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.58,0	90.7%