NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	89		Excitement	8.0 [203]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +23.8%
New Orleans Hornets	86		Comeback	2.1 [529]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (NOH): -25.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.24,0.24	0.01	0.22	-0.01	11	48%	0.28	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.08
DeJuan Blair	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	-0.02	0.03	14	70%	0.13	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Matt Bonner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Dentmon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	12	31%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
James Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	16	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	15	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Danny Green	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	9	30%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,0.08,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.10	0.00	12	42%	0.11	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	71%	0.22	5	-0.23	5	100%	0.06
Gustavo Ayon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	12	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	11	45%	0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	4	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.08,0.08,0,0,-0.25	-0.25	0.07	-0.31	0.01	19	63%	-0.06	4	-0.19	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	26.3	15.3	24.7	2.5	33.2	127.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +4.5%

SAS +10.4%

NOH -0.8%

SAS +37.0%

NOH -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NOH	NBA	SAS	NOH	NBA
this game	16.3	16.4	15.6	100.0	98.9	102.8
season	15.3	16.3		109.1	99.2
opponent	15.7	15.2		103.4	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.0	16.4	14.7	18.5	16.3
NOH	17.5	17.1	15.3	15.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	45	42	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.47	7	-4	11	17.1	15.6	1.50	16.7	16.1	0.65
Danny Green	57	55	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.37	4	-1	5	16.6	15.8	0.80	16.2	16.8	-0.65
Tim Duncan	57	57	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	-4	11	16.2	16.6	-0.47	16.7	15.8	0.87
Stephen Jackson	54	54	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	1	1	15.5	17.6	-2.15	16.9	15.6	1.23
Tony Parker	72	71	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.37	-2	5	-7	16.5	15.5	0.98	16.2	17.4	-1.27
Boris Diaw	21	19	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	2	-1	15.2	16.7	-1.42	16.8	16.3	0.50
James Anderson	34	33	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	4	-5	14.9	17.2	-2.29	16.4	16.4	-0.06
Justin Dentmon	11	11	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	-1	5	16.4	16.3	0.04	19.4	16.0	3.39
Kawhi Leonard	47	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	5	-7	17.2	15.4	1.79	16.0	16.8	-0.74
DeJuan Blair	47	48	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	8	-13	16.8	15.8	1.02	15.4	17.7	-2.29

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Johnson	8	8	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.03	3	-6	9	18.2	16.2	2.03	17.4	16.2	1.15
Xavier Henry	30	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-3	3	17.1	16.0	1.12	16.4	16.3	0.13
Lance Thomas	35	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	3	-9	17.1	15.9	1.24	16.2	16.4	-0.19
Al-Farouq Aminu	41	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	3	-9	16.9	16.0	0.90	16.5	16.1	0.37
Jarrett Jack	69	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.39	5	-8	13	15.9	18.3	-2.43	16.7	15.1	1.58
Carl Landry	52	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.46	6	-9	15	15.9	17.2	-1.33	17.1	15.2	1.90
Marco Belinelli	68	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.46	4	-7	11	15.9	18.1	-2.11	16.6	15.4	1.17
Gustavo Ayon	72	73	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	6	-15	16.5	16.1	0.33	15.7	19.4	-3.72
Greivis Vasquez	60	63	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.32	-12	9	-21	16.5	16.1	0.42	15.5	18.3	-2.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.36,0.55,0.43,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 86, CLE 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.26,0	91.5%
LAC 92, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.43,0.58,0	91.4%
SAS 104, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.67,0.58,0	91.2%