NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	90		Excitement	8.4 [176]		MVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): +22.8%
Charlotte Bobcats	86		Comeback	3.1 [251]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): -19.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jameer Nelson	0.23	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.23	0.23	0.03	0.03	21	71%	0.23	0	0.00	3	100%	0.05
Marcin Gortat	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	1	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Ryan Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.08,-0.14,-0.06,0,0,0	-0.05	0.05	-0.00	11	54%	0.16	5	-0.17	4	100%	0.08
Dwight Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	54%	0.13	4	-0.15	10	50%	-0.15
JJ Redick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04	-0.12	0.07	-0.00	11	42%	0.10	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.05
Mickael Pietrus	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.05	0.00	6	100%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.09	0.01	14	42%	0.09	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.04
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	12	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.13	0.00	5	60%	-0.02	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2	-0.20	-0.02	-0.17	0.00	18	44%	-0.17	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	3.5	30.8	19.8	28.4	3.6	46.3	160.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +39.8%

ORL +8.3%

ORL +19.2%

CHA -14.7%

CHA -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHA	NBA	ORL	CHA	NBA
this game	16.0	15.4	15.3	97.8	94.5	106.0
season	15.4	16.2		110.1	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.9		101.8	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.4	18.0	15.5	13.8	16.0
CHA	15.4	15.5	16.5	14.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	75	74	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.36	16	-12	28	15.9	16.7	-0.83	15.3	16.1	-0.83
Jameer Nelson	74	74	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.39	13	-9	22	15.7	17.5	-1.82	15.1	16.9	-1.85
Rashard Lewis	62	62	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-7	18	14.8	18.6	-3.76	16.9	12.3	4.59
Marcin Gortat	44	42	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.41	-3	7	-10	16.4	15.7	0.63	13.5	17.1	-3.69
Mickael Pietrus	39	39	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.49	-9	13	-22	15.4	16.5	-1.08	14.5	16.1	-1.62
Dwight Howard	48	49	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	-3	10	15.7	16.4	-0.63	17.1	13.5	3.69
Matt Barnes	51	50	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	-2	8	17.0	14.9	2.13	15.3	15.6	-0.35
Brandon Bass	4	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	4	-4	19.5	15.9	3.62	6.0	15.8	-9.76
Ryan Anderson	25	24	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	8	-12	17.8	15.4	2.48	13.7	16.0	-2.29
JJ Redick	20	21	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.03	-8	12	-20	16.2	16.0	0.28	17.0	15.0	2.09
Jason Williams	18	17	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.00	-9	13	-22	17.5	15.7	1.82	16.9	15.1	1.85

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	28	28	0.33	-0.83	1.15	0.06	9	-13	22	16.6	14.9	1.74	15.9	16.1	-0.15
Tyrus Thomas	31	31	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.14	3	-7	10	15.6	15.4	0.21	16.8	15.6	1.22
Tyson Chandler	22	23	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.10	8	-12	20	15.4	15.4	-0.04	17.7	15.5	2.28
Larry Hughes	38	37	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.30	9	-13	22	14.9	15.8	-0.85	15.4	16.5	-1.09
Nazr Mohammed	30	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	0	-4	17.0	14.7	2.28	15.6	16.3	-0.70
Theo Ratliff	16	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-1	-2	17.8	14.9	2.88	15.8	16.1	-0.33
Gerald Wallace	75	77	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.48	-5	1	-6	15.2	16.6	-1.44	15.9	16.5	-0.60
Stephen Jackson	80	80	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.39	-12	8	-20	15.2	17.2	-1.98	15.9	16.6	-0.63
Boris Diaw	72	74	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.47	-12	8	-20	15.0	17.1	-2.04	15.9	16.4	-0.51
Raymond Felton	64	66	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.45	-15	11	-26	14.8	16.9	-2.01	15.6	17.1	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.63,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.39,0.39,0.2,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 88, CHH 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.32,0.45,0.32,0.18,0	92.4%
LAL 107, MIN 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.32,0.01,0	91.6%
TOR 102, MIL 98	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.69,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.37,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.43,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.25,0.36,0.16,0.15,0	91.1%