NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	107		Excitement	8.2 [122]		MVP	Glen Rice (LAL): +23.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Comeback	3.5 [353]		LVP	Joe Smith (MIN): -15.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.24	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.09	0.16	0.01	17	61%	0.25	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.15	0.01	12	62%	0.20	0	0.00	10	80%	0.02
Travis Knight	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Derek Harper	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.04	0.01	10	59%	0.12	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	5	45%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
J.R. Reid	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	9	67%	0.03	3	-0.09	18	56%	-0.09

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	22	45%	0.07	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.09
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	14	43%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.07	-0.00	18	45%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrae Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Winter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.03	-0.05	9	30%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.08	0.02	11	55%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	3	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	15	52%	-0.01	2	-0.14	12	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.8	27.4	17.6	28.3	2.7	32.4	138.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +47.5%

LAL +16.0%

MIN -25.3%

LAL +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.3	17.2	15.8	118.9	116.1	99.6
season	14.9	15.0		104.7	98.6
opponent	15.9	15.8		98.6	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.0	17.2	14.9	14.5	15.3
MIN	17.0	17.9	16.4	17.7	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	68	65	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.27	20	-14	34	15.0	16.3	-1.29	17.8	15.5	2.38
Travis Knight	46	44	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.32	14	-8	22	15.1	15.6	-0.57	17.7	16.8	0.87
Kobe Bryant	73	69	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.22	16	-10	26	15.3	15.4	-0.01	17.9	14.7	3.23
Derek Harper	59	58	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-1	8	15.4	15.3	0.13	17.5	16.7	0.76
Glen Rice	72	71	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.38	4	2	2	15.1	16.2	-1.10	16.8	19.2	-2.48
Ruben Patterson	8	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	8	-10	12.1	15.7	-3.53	14.5	17.5	-3.01
Derek Fisher	31	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	7	-8	15.3	15.4	-0.13	16.7	17.5	-0.76
Rick Fox	29	28	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	14	-22	15.9	15.1	0.81	17.3	17.2	0.13
J.R. Reid	44	43	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.01	-8	14	-22	15.6	15.1	0.57	16.8	17.7	-0.87
Sean Rooks	20	20	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.00	-12	18	-30	17.7	14.7	3.03	15.5	17.7	-2.18

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	26	25	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.13	9	-15	24	18.5	16.7	1.76	15.8	15.2	0.58
Andrae Patterson	16	18	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.01	4	-10	14	15.5	17.6	-2.12	14.9	15.4	-0.50
Reggie Jordan	47	47	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.20	8	-14	22	17.6	16.8	0.75	16.8	13.7	3.11
Trevor Winter	9	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-4	2	17.8	17.2	0.61	13.2	15.6	-2.36
Brian Evans	3	3	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-6	6	10.0	17.5	-7.49	2.0	15.8	-13.80
Tom Hammonds	9	7	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	1	-8	21.2	16.8	4.45	13.7	15.5	-1.77
Sam Mitchell	58	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	2	-10	17.1	17.6	-0.53	14.8	16.5	-1.68
Dean Garrett	56	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-2	-2	17.2	17.2	0.01	16.5	13.2	3.23
Joe Smith	75	77	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	-1	-4	17.6	15.0	2.59	15.4	14.9	0.49
Kevin Garnett	75	77	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	4	-14	16.9	19.2	-2.34	14.9	17.8	-2.83
Terrell Brandon	61	65	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.19	-15	9	-24	16.7	18.5	-1.76	15.2	15.8	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.32,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, CHA 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.63,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.39,0.39,0.2,0.16,0	91.6%
POR 103, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.71,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.53,0.64,0.35,0.08,0	91.4%
DAL 108, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.71,0.73,0.47,0.28,0.1,0.16,0	90.9%